Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Timberwolves vs City Thunder Prediction 5/28/2025

The Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) on Wednesday, May 28th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on ESPN. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Timberwolves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Timberwolves. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Timberwolves vs Thunder

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The Timberwolves Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Timberwolves dropped to 49-33 on the season after a 128-126 home loss to the Thunder on Monday. Minnesota entered the game as +3 point underdogs and managed to cover the spread, losing by just two points. The total score of 254 points exceeded the O/U line of 219 by 35 points.

Oklahoma City took an early lead, winning the 1st quarter 37-30 and the 2nd quarter 28-27. Minnesota made a push in the 3rd, outscoring the Thunder 28-25, but still trailed 90-85 going into the 4th. The Timberwolves put up 41 points in the final quarter, but it wasn’t enough as the Thunder scored 38 to hold on for the win.

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Oklahoma City improved to 68-14 this season with a 128-126 win over the Timberwolves on Monday. The Thunder, who were -3 point favorites, didn’t cover the spread, but they got the win on the road. The game’s total of 254 points went well over the 219-point line.

OKC took a 37-30 lead after the 1st quarter and extended it to 65-57 by halftime. They entered the 4th quarter up 90-85, but the Timberwolves outscored them 41-38 in the final period, making it a closer finish than expected.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

Nickeil Alexander-Walker led the Timberwolves with 23 points and 6 assists in their 128-126 loss to the Thunder, hitting 5 threes at 62.5%. Jaden McDaniels added 22 points, 10 of which came in the 4th quarter, while Donte DiVincenzo contributed 21 points, also making 5 threes at 62.5%.

Minnesota connected on 18 threes, shooting 43.9% from deep and 51.2% overall. DiVincenzo and Alexander-Walker each scored 8 points in the final period, with Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert adding 6 points apiece in the 4th.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a win over the Timberwolves, finishing with 40 points, 10 assists, and 9 rebounds. Jalen Williams added 34 points, hitting 6 threes at a 66.7% clip, while Chet Holmgren contributed 21 points and 7 rebounds, shooting 64.3% from the field.

The Thunder connected on 16 threes, shooting 43.2% from beyond the arc and 50.5% overall. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 13 points in the 1st quarter and 11 in the 4th, while Williams added 14 points in the final period.

Timberwolves Team Defense

The Timberwolves struggled defensively in the 1st and 4th quarters, allowing 37 and 38 points, respectively, in their 128-126 loss to the Thunder. Despite a solid defensive effort in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, where they gave up just 28 and 25 points, Minnesota couldn’t contain Oklahoma City in the final period.

Overall, the Timberwolves allowed the Thunder to shoot 50% from the field, including 43% from beyond the arc, with 16 threes made. Minnesota sent Oklahoma City to the line 21 times, where they made 16 free throws. The Timberwolves recorded 8 steals and 3 blocks in the game.

Thunder Team Defense

The Timberwolves struggled defensively in the 1st and 4th quarters, giving up 37 and 38 points, respectively, in their 128-126 loss to the Thunder. Despite better efforts in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, where they allowed 28 and 25 points, Minnesota couldn’t contain Oklahoma City, who shot 50% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Thunder hit 16 threes at a 43% clip. The Timberwolves sent Oklahoma City to the line 21 times, with the Thunder converting 16 free throws. Minnesota also allowed 19 offensive rebounds but managed to record 8 steals and 3 blocks.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 114 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Thunder struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction

The Thunder is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 148-129. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Thunder at -8.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 220.5 and given that our model is projecting 277 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.