Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/28/2025

The Utah Jazz (16-58) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (46-28) on Friday, March 28th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Jazz are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Jazz. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Jazz vs Nuggets

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The Jazz Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Jazz fell to 16-58 on the season after a 121-110 home loss to the Rockets on Thursday. Utah entered the game as +13.5 point underdogs but managed to keep the game closer than expected, losing by 11. The total points for the game were 231, which went over the pre-game line of 226.5 by 4.5 points.

Utah trailed 27-24 after the 1st quarter but edged Houston 27-26 in the 2nd, going into halftime down by just two points. The Rockets pulled away in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Jazz 36-29. Utah tried to rally in the 4th, scoring 30 points, but Houston’s 32 points in the final period sealed the win.

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Denver improved to 46-28 with a 127-117 win over the Bucks on Wednesday. The Nuggets were at home and favored by 11.5 points, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 244, which went over the line of 227.

The Nuggets jumped out to a 38-27 lead after the 1st quarter, but the Bucks closed the gap by winning the 2nd quarter 37-29. Denver regained control in the 3rd, outscoring Milwaukee 33-28, and entered the 4th with a 100-92 lead. They edged the Bucks 27-25 in the final quarter to secure the win.

Jazz Offense Breakdown

The Jazz shot 54.4% from the field and 47.8% from three-point range in their 121-110 loss to the Rockets, though they made just 11 threes overall. Collin Sexton led the way with 21 points, hitting 3 threes at a 75% clip.

Brice Sensabaugh was perfect from the field, making all 5 of his threes and finishing with 17 points. Keyonte George also added 17 points and 8 assists.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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Nikola Jokić’s 39-point triple-double led the Nuggets to a win over the Bucks, as he shot 64% from the field and hit 3 threes at 50%. Michael Porter Jr. added 23 points, making 6 threes at 75% shooting, and Christian Braun contributed 19 points, also hitting 3 threes at 50%. Denver made 16 threes as a team, shooting 43.2% from deep and 54.4% overall.

Jokić scored 12 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, while Porter added 14 of his points in the opening period. Braun also had 9 points in the 3rd, and Jamal Murray scored 9 of his 17 points in the 4th. Peyton Watson contributed 6 points in the final quarter as well.

Jazz Team Defense

Defensively, the Jazz held the Rockets to 27 points in the 1st quarter and 26 in the 2nd, but they gave up 36 points in the 3rd and 32 in the 4th, leading to a 121-110 loss. Utah allowed Houston to shoot 46% from the field.

The Jazz did a good job defending the three-point line, with the Rockets making 12 threes on 32% shooting. Houston also went 15/19 from the free-throw line. Utah finished with 5 steals and 5 blocks.

Nuggets Team Defense

The Jazz held the Rockets to 27 points in the 1st quarter and 26 in the 2nd, but their defense faltered in the 3rd and 4th, allowing 36 and 32 points, respectively, in a 121-110 loss. Overall, Utah gave up 46% shooting from the field.

On the perimeter, the Jazz limited Houston to 12 made threes on 32% shooting. The Rockets also went 15/19 from the free-throw line. Utah recorded 5 steals and 5 blocks but allowed 18 offensive rebounds.

Jazz vs Nuggets Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Utah has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.
  • Across the Nuggets last ten home games, the team averaged 116 points per game while allowing 118. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Utah has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 0-5.

Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction

In this Jazz vs. Nuggets matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Jazz at +17.5. While we project the Nuggets to win 129-121, our recommendation is to bet on the Jazz for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 238.5, and our model projects the Jazz and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 250 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.