Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction 3/28/2025

The Golden State Warriors (41-31) travel to face off against the New Orleans Pelicans (20-53) on Friday, March 28th. This game will be played at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans and televised on NBCS. The Pelicans are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Warriors are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Warriors. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Warriors vs Pelicans

golden state warriors nba

The Warriors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Warriors dropped to 41-31 on the season after a 112-86 road loss to the Heat on Tuesday. Golden State, who were favored by 4.5 points, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 198, falling short of the 208.5 O/U line.

Golden State’s 10-0 run turned the game from 78-62 to 88-62, but they couldn’t sustain the momentum. They were outscored 29-16 in the 4th quarter, sealing their fate.

The Pelicans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Pelicans improved to 20-53 on the season with a 112-99 win over the 76ers on Monday. Playing at home, New Orleans was favored by 3 points and covered the spread. The game’s total of 211 points fell short of the 224.5-point over/under line.

New Orleans took control with a 10-0 run, stretching the score from 75-73 to 85-73. They led 90-75 going into the 4th quarter, and while the 76ers outscored them 24-22 in the final period, the Pelicans’ earlier efforts secured the win.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

In their 112-86 loss to the Heat, the Warriors shot just 39.8% from the field and struggled from beyond the arc, hitting only 9 threes at a 23.7% clip. Jonathan Kuminga led Golden State with 15 points, adding 8 in the 2nd quarter and 5 more in the 3rd.

Brandin Podziemski contributed 14 points, scoring 9 in the 3rd, while Gui Santos added 13 points, knocking down 3 threes at 50% efficiency and scoring 8 points in the opening quarter. Santos also added 5 points in the 4th.

Pelicans Offense Breakdown

new orleans pelicans

The Pelicans shot 49.4% from the field and hit 15 threes at a 42.9% clip in their win over the 76ers. Karlo Matković led the way with 19 points, 8 rebounds, and 3 made threes, shooting 75% from deep.

Antonio Reeves added 17 points, knocking down 5 threes at 71.4%, with 8 points in the 2nd quarter and 9 in the 3rd. Yves Missi contributed 16 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 85.7% from the field.

Warriors Team Defense

Defensively, the Warriors struggled against the Heat, giving up 112 points while allowing Miami to shoot 55% from the field. Golden State allowed 28 points in the 1st quarter and 29 in both the 2nd and 4th, with their best defensive effort coming in the 3rd, where they gave up 26 points.

The Warriors also had trouble defending the three, as the Heat hit 17 threes at a 68% clip. Golden State sent Miami to the line 12 times, where they made 9 free throws. The Warriors recorded 8 steals and 1 block in the game.

Pelicans Team Defense

Defensively, the Warriors struggled against the Heat, giving up 112 points on 55% shooting. They allowed 28 points in the 1st quarter and 29 in both the 2nd and 4th, while the 3rd quarter saw them give up 26 points.

From beyond the arc, the Heat hit 17 threes at a 68% clip. The Warriors sent Miami to the line 12 times, where they made 9 free throws. Golden State recorded 24 defensive rebounds, allowed 8 offensive boards, and finished with 8 steals.

Warriors vs Pelicans Trends

  • Although Golden State has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 113 points per game in these games.
  • Across their ten previous home games, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 115 points per game.
  • The last ten games that New Orleans was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-7-1.

Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction

The Warriors is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 125-67. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Warriors at -13.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 223.5 and our model has the Warriors and Pelicans finishing with a combined 192 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.