northern arizona vs uc santa barbara ncaab prediction

NCAAB Northern Lumberjacks vs Gauchos Prediction 11/29/2023

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (2-4) travel to face off against the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (2-2) on Wednesday, November 29th. This game will be played at The Thunderdome in Santa Barbara and televised on ESPN+. UC Santa Barbara is coming off a win in their previous game, while Northern Arizona is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hawaii. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing to Hawaii (70-61), the Lumberjacks come into today’s game with a 2-4 record. In their last ten road games, including those from last year, Northern Arizona has a record of 5-5. Northern Arizona currently has an ATS record of 2-4, sitting below .500. However, in their last five games, the team has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.

Through six games, Northern Arizona has an over/under record of 1-5-0 with their games averaging a combined 139.2 points per game so far. The Lumberjacks’ last five games have finished with a combined 64 points per game and an over/under record of 0-5.

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Are Coming Off A Win

UC Santa Barbara comes into this game with a 2-2 record, having just defeated Fresno State 69-65. In their previous five home games, including last year, UC Santa Barbara has a 3-2 record. Against the spread, UC Santa Barbara has a current record of 1-2 this season. When factoring in last year’s games, UC Santa Barbara is 3-4-2 vs. the spread in their previous ten games.

In four games, UC Santa Barbara comes in with an over/under mark of 3-1-0, with their games averaging 156.2 points per game. When looking at the Gauchos’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-0, with their games averaging 87 points per game.

Northern Arizona Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Lumberjacks’ offense finished with 61 points, which is right in line with their current average of 62.5 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Trenton McLaughlin, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 13, while Jayden Jackson also carries a PPG average of 10.3 into the game.

Trenton McLaughlin (G) 13.0 4.2 1.7
Jayden Jackson (G) 10.3 3.0 1.3
Oakland Fort (G) 9.2 2.5 3.2

UC Santa Barbara Offense Breakdown

Against Fresno State, the UC Santa Barbara had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 81.6 points per game. They scored 69 points and posted a field goal percentage of 47.3% in the game. The top scorer for the Gauchos was Ajay Mitchell with 27 points, while Yohan Traore also chipped in with 17 points.

Yohan Traore (F) 17.4 4.4 0.4
Cole Anderson (G) 13.0 2.4 2.0
Josh Pierre-Louis (G) 12.8 4.8 4.6

Northern Arizona Team Defense

At present, the Lumberjacks’ defense is nationally ranked 178th, allowing 76.7 points per game. Against Hawaii in their most recent game, the Northern Arizona defense gave up a total of 70 points while allowing Hawaii to hit 39% of their shots.

UC Santa Barbara Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the UC Santa Barbara defense is giving up an average of 77.4 points per contest. UC Santa Barbara will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Fresno State to just 36% shooting in their most recent game.

Lumberjacks vs Gauchos Trends

  • In their last five road games, Northern Arizona has averaged 64 points per game while allowing 73. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, UC Santa Barbara has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 75 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Lumberjacks have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Gauchos have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-1-1.

Lumberjacks vs Gauchos Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Gauchos vs. Gauchos game, our recommendation is to take the Gauchos at -11.5. Despite our model showing the Gauchos winning 74-69, we like Lumberjacks as our point-spread pick.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 149.5, and our model projects the Lumberjacks and Gauchos to reach a combined total of 143 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.