The Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5) face off against the Bowling Green Falcons (7-5) on Thursday, December 26th. This game will be played at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile and televised on ESPN. Both Arkansas State and Bowling Green will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 ET.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Bowling Green Falcons

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Arkansas State Offense Breakdown

Arkansas State’s offense is averaging 24.8 points per game heading into week 1, placing them 68th nationally. They rank 95th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 2,562 yards, with 14 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 83.

Arkansas State is 30th in passing attempts, averaging 34.2 per game, and 31st in completions with 21.2 per game. They are 69th in passing yards, averaging 227.1 yards per game, and have converted 39.8% of their third downs. Leading rusher Zak Wallace has 622 yards and 10 touchdowns, while Corey Rucker leads the receivers with 946 yards and 5 touchdowns.

Bowling Green Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 1, Bowling Green’s offense is ranked 72nd in our power rankings, and they are averaging 26.8 points per game. They are 54th in passing attempts, with 30.7 per game, but 40th in completions, averaging 20.2. Their passing game is producing 224.6 yards per game, and they have a third-down conversion rate of 37.5%.

Connor Bazelak leads the team with 2,654 passing yards and a 67.1% completion rate. He has thrown 15 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, earning a passer rating of 97. Terion Stewart leads the rushing attack with 895 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns. Malcolm Johnson Jr. has 504 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Arkansas State Team Defense

Arkansas State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 32.2 points per game, which ranks 85th nationally. In their recent game against Old Dominion, they gave up 40 points and 554 total yards, including 411 rushing yards on 50 carries.

Opponents have averaged 229 rushing yards per game against Arkansas State, and quarterbacks have posted a 93.1 passer rating, completing 63.7% of their passes for an average of 234.4 yards per game.

Arkansas State Team Defense

Bowling Green’s defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 20.2 points per game. They’ve given up 181.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 30th, and 151.2 rushing yards per game.

In their recent game against Miami (OH), the defense allowed 28 points but gave up just 190 total yards, including 63 rushing yards and 127 passing yards. They also forced an interception in the game.

Arkansas State vs Bowling Green Trends

• In their last five games away from home, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 21 points per game in these contests.
• Bowling Green has played well in their previous three home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 34 points per game while allowing 17. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
• The Bowling Green Falcons have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Red Wolves vs Falcons Prediction

We like Bowling Green to cover the -6.5 point spread as they face off against Arkansas State in week one. Our projected final score is 29-19 in favor of the Falcons, making them the smart pick as the home favorite.

For the over/under, with the line set at 50.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projection has these teams combining for 48 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.