Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs Prediction 10/5/2024

The Auburn Tigers (2-3) face off against the Georgia Bulldogs (3-1) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at Sanford Stadium in Athens and televised on ABC. Both Auburn and Georgia will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 ET.

Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs

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Auburn Offense Breakdown

Auburn’s offense is averaging 33.4 points per game heading into week 6, placing them 35th in the nation. In our offensive power rankings, they are 82nd. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 15th with 294.8 yards per game. They are 38th in passing attempts, averaging 29.4 per game, and 35th in completions, with 18 per game. Auburn is converting 44% of their third downs.

Payton Thorne leads the team with 1,038 passing yards and 10 touchdowns, but he has also thrown six interceptions and has a passer rating of 102. Jarquez Hunter has rushed for 437 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. KeAndre Lambert-Smith has 415 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 17 catches.

Georgia Offense Breakdown

Georgia’s offense ranks 40th in points scored, averaging 32.2 per game, and they are 14th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Carson Beck has thrown for 1,119 yards with a passer rating of 105, leading the Bulldogs’ passing attack. Georgia is 40th in passing attempts per game, averaging 36, and they are 37th in passing yards, with 302.2 per game.

Beck has completed 62.9% of his passes, throwing 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Georgia ranks 90th in third-down conversions, converting only 33.3% of their attempts. On the ground, they are 107th in rushing yards, averaging 129.8 per game. Trevor Etienne leads the rushing attack with 212 yards. Arian Smith has 274 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Auburn Team Defense

Despite allowing 27 points in their recent 27-21 loss to Oklahoma, Auburn’s defense gave up just 11 first downs and 291 total yards. They allowed 130 rushing yards on 32 carries and 161 passing yards, though they didn’t force any turnovers.

On the season, Auburn’s defense ranks 34th nationally, giving up 18.8 points per game. They’ve allowed 208 passing yards per game (81st) and 123 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 55.2% of their passes, with a passer rating of 75.3 against Auburn’s defense.

Auburn Team Defense

Georgia’s defense, ranked 10th nationally, has allowed an average of 14.8 points per game this season. They’ve given up 127.5 rushing yards per game and 162 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 64.6% of their throws and posting a 77.7 passer rating.

In their recent game against Alabama, Georgia’s defense struggled, allowing 41 points and 551 total yards. Alabama rushed for 177 yards and threw for 374 yards, though Georgia did manage to force one interception.

Auburn vs Georgia Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Auburn Tigers have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 4-5-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
  • Although Georgia has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 36 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Auburn has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Georgia Bulldogs have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Georgia posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.

Tigers vs Bulldogs Prediction

Our projections have Georgia winning this matchup 35-12, but with Auburn coming in as +24.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread. Georgia is the heavy favorite, but Auburn should keep it close enough to cover.

For the over/under, the line is set at 53.5 points, and with our projected score of 47 points, the under looks like the best play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.