LSU vs Baylor Texas Bowl
PublishedDecember 12, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:December 12, 2024 ,

NCAAF Baylor Bears vs LSU Prediction Kinder’s Texas Bowl

The Baylor Bears (8-4) face off against the LSU Tigers (8-4) on Tuesday, December 31st. This game will be played at NRG Stadium in Houston and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Baylor Bears vs LSU Tigers

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Baylor Offense Breakdown

Baylor’s offense is averaging 34.7 points per game, placing them 18th in the nation, and they are ranked 23rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 2,626 yards with 26 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 107. Baylor ranks 18th nationally in passer rating.

The Bears are averaging 191.4 rushing yards per game, with Bryson Washington leading the way with 1,004 yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Baylor ranks 33rd in rushing yards per game. Josh Cameron leads the receivers with 643 yards and 9 touchdowns on 44 catches.

LSU Offense Breakdown

LSU’s offense is ranked 15th in our power rankings heading into their week 11 matchup against Baylor. They are 43rd in points per game, scoring 29.3 on average. Garrett Nussmeier has thrown for 3,739 yards, with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 95.

LSU is 4th in both passing attempts and completions per game, averaging 41.7 attempts and 26.7 completions, which has led to 315.3 passing yards per game, ranking 8th nationally. They are 6th in third-down conversions, converting 49.4% of their attempts. On the ground, they are 107th, averaging 118.2 rushing yards per game. Caden Durham leads the rushing attack with 689 yards and six touchdowns. Kyren Lacy has 866 receiving yards and nine touchdowns.

Baylor Team Defense

In their recent game, Baylor’s defense allowed 17 points but gave up 491 total yards, including 211 rushing yards on 31 attempts and 280 passing yards. They did manage to force two interceptions and held Kansas to 18 first downs.

On the season, Baylor’s defense ranks 49th nationally, allowing 25.2 points per game. Opponents are averaging 156.5 rushing yards per game on 38.2 attempts and 227.4 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 55.7% of their passes against Baylor, posting a passer rating of 76, which ranks 30th in the country.

Baylor Team Defense

LSU’s defense is giving up 23.8 points per game this season, ranking 38th nationally. In their latest game, they allowed just 17 points and forced an interception against Oklahoma, giving up 288 total yards, including 110 passing yards.

Opponents are averaging 151.2 rushing yards per game against LSU and 205.7 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 60.8% of their passes with a passer rating of 85.6 against the Tigers.

Baylor vs LSU Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Baylor has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 42 points per game.
  • Across their three previous home games, LSU has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 24 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Baylor Bears have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • LSU has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Bears vs Tigers Prediction

Our projections for this week one matchup between Baylor and LSU suggest that the over is the best bet. The over/under line is set at 59.5 points, and we have these teams combining for 67 points.

As for the spread, we have Baylor winning the game 36-31, making them a good bet as the slight road underdogs. Baylor is currently +1.5 point underdogs, and we have them not only winning the game straight-up but also covering the spread.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.