bowling green vs western michigan ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Bowling Green vs W. Michigan Prediction 11/21/2023

The Bowling Green Falcons (6-5) travel to face off against the Western Michigan Broncos (4-7) on Tuesday, November 21st. This game will be played at Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo and televised on ESNU. Both Bowling Green and Western Michigan will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos

The Bowling Green Falcons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Bowling Green took on Toledo in their most recent game, blowing a four point lead going into the 4th and falling 32-31. In the loss against Toledo, quarterback Connor Bazelak wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 100.42 after completing 23 of 35 passes for 286 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

The over hit in this game as the team’s combined for 63 point and the over/under line was 49.5. Bowling Green did cover the spread even with a straight-up loss because they were 10-point underdogs.

With a 6-5 record, the Bowling Green Falcons take on Western Michigan. Their road record so far is (3-3) and at home (2-2).

Bowling Green has gone into three games as the favorite this season and seven games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 6-4. So far this season, Bowling Green boasts an over/under record of 7-3. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 50.4 points, while the average over/under line has been 45.3 points.

The Western Michigan Broncos Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Western Michigan will be looking to rebound from a 24-0 loss to Northern Illinois in their most recent game. The Broncos fell behind early, trailing by -7 after the first quarter. Hayden Wolff finished with 182 yards against Northern Illinois while going 18 for 31 for a completion percentage of 58.1%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.

Going into the game, Western Michigan was the 4.5-point underdogs and in addition to losing straight-up, they did not cover the spread. The team’s combined 24 points was not enough to surpass the over/under line of 57.5.

This season, the Western Michigan Broncos are currently 4-7. So far this season, they have played seven road games and three at home.

Western Michigan’s average scoring differential for the season is -6.6 leading to an ATS mark of 6-4. The Broncos have been favored three times and the underdog in seven games So far this season, Western Michigan boasts an over/under record of 7-3. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 56.5 points, while the average over/under line has been 51.8 points.

Bowling Green Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Falcons come in with the 83rd ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 182.3 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 62nd in terms of attempts.

This season, Connor Bazelak has thrown for 1492 yards while maintaining an average of 11.5 per completion. His completion percentage stands at 60.2%, and he’s recorded nine touchdowns.

Western Michigan Offense Breakdown

The Broncos’ offense is set to face Bowling Green while averaging 156.3 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 66th for rushing yards and 76th for passing yards, with an average of 219.2 yards per matchup. Overall, Western Michigan is putting up 24.9 points per game, which is 66th nationally.

Quarterback Hayden Wolff leads the team with 1382 passing yards while completing 65.8% of his passes. So far, he is averaging 6.9 yards per passing attempt.

Bowling Green Team Defense

Bowling Green comes into the game 95th in points allowed, allowing 24.7 points per game. Teams have been gaining 199 passing yards on average against them (50th). Against the run, they’re giving up 137.8 yards, placing them 56th in college football.

Western Michigan Team Defense

As we head into this week’s game, the Western Michigan defense ranks 134th for points allowed, with an average of 31.5 points per game. Teams have been gaining 235.2 passing yards per game against them (118th nationally). Against the run, they’ve given up 162.4 rushing yards, placing them 105th in college football.

Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Trends

  • Looking at Bowling Green’s three most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 2-1.
  • Looking across Western Michigan’s five most recent home games, they are 4-1 against the spread.
  • Looking back at the last three times Western Michigan went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 1-2.
  • Bowling Green’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 3-2.

Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Prediction

I’m liking Bowling Green to cover the spread as they come in as the 1.5-point favorites on the road. Bowling Green’s offense had a strong showing against Toledo, and I believe they will continue their success in this week’s matchup against Western Michigan.

Western Michigan has an average margin vs. the over/under of +4.8 this season. With the over/under set at 54.5, we anticipate this game to exceed expectations, ending with a combined total of 55 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.