Colorado Buffaloes vs UCF Knights NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Colorado Buffaloes vs UCF Knights Prediction 9/28/2024

The Colorado Buffaloes (3-1) face off against the UCF Knights (3-0) on Saturday, September 28th. This game will be played at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Colorado Buffaloes vs UCF Knights

 

Colorado Offense Breakdown

Colorado’s offense, led by quarterback Shedeur Sanders, put up 433 yards of total offense in their 38-31 overtime win. Sanders threw for 341 yards and two touchdowns, completing 61% of his passes. Travis Hunter was his top target, hauling in seven receptions for 130 yards.

The Buffaloes’ offense picked up 24 first downs, with their ground game contributing 92 yards and three rushing touchdowns.

UCF Offense Breakdown

UCF’s offense was explosive in their narrow 35-34 win over TCU, racking up 519 total yards. The Knights’ ground game was particularly strong, with 289 rushing yards and two touchdowns. RJ Harvey led the way with 180 yards on 29 carries, averaging 6.2 yards per attempt and finding the end zone twice.

In the passing game, KJ Jefferson completed 13 of 22 passes for 230 yards and three touchdowns, finishing with a passer rating of 134.47. Kobe Hudson was his top target, hauling in six receptions for 145 yards.

Colorado Team Defense

Colorado’s defense will be looking to improve after allowing 314 total yards to Baylor in their most recent game. The Buffaloes gave up 166 rushing yards and one touchdown on the ground, but they were more effective against the pass, holding Baylor to 148 yards on 11 completions. Colorado’s defense also gave up two passing touchdowns.

Colorado Team Defense

UCF’s defense will be looking to improve after giving up 415 passing yards and 65 rushing yards to TCU in their last game. The Knights allowed 24 first downs and 480 total yards, but they did come up with two interceptions to help limit the damage on the scoreboard, as TCU scored 34 points. UCF will need to address their pass defense heading into their next game.

Colorado vs UCF Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Colorado has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the UCF Knights offense has averaged 27 points per game while allowing an average of 34. UCF posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 3-7 ATS.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Colorado Buffaloes have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-5.
  • Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the UCF Knights struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 4-1.

Buffaloes vs Knights Prediction

Our pick for this week five matchup between UCF and Colorado is to take UCF to cover the -14 point spread as the home favorite. We project a final score of 38-20 in favor of UCF, which would have them covering the spread comfortably.

For the over/under line, which is set at 63.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projections have a combined total of 58 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.