The Duke Blue Devils (9-3) face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (9-3) on Thursday, January 2nd. This game will be played at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Duke Blue Devils vs Ole Miss Rebels

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Duke Offense Breakdown

Duke’s offense is averaging 26.8 points per game, ranking 54th in the nation heading into week 1. They are 89th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the focus, with 35.2 attempts per game, ranking 27th nationally, and they are 43rd in passing yards, averaging 245 yards per game. Their third-down conversion rate is a concern, at just 28.9%, placing them 126th.

Maalik Murphy leads Duke’s passing attack with 2,933 yards and 26 touchdowns, though he has 12 interceptions and a passer rating of 90. Star Thomas has rushed for 871 yards and 7 touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Jordan Moore, the top receiver, has 798 yards and 7 touchdowns on 50 catches.

Ole Miss Offense Breakdown

Ole Miss enters week 11 ranked 7th in points per game, scoring 37.5 per contest, and we have them 14th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been their strength, ranking 3rd nationally with 343.6 yards per game, and they are 10th in completion percentage at 67.4%. They are also 4th in passer rating.

Jaxson Dart has thrown for 3,875 yards, completing 68.6% of his passes, with 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 119. Tre Harris leads the receiving corps with 1,030 yards and 7 touchdowns on 60 catches. On the ground, Ole Miss averages 178.3 rushing yards per game.

Duke Team Defense

Duke’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 29th nationally by allowing just 22.2 points per game. They’ve given up 150 rushing yards per game on 40.2 attempts and 194.8 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks posting a 73.6 passer rating and completing 56.7% of their throws.

In their recent game against Wake Forest, Duke’s defense allowed 17 points, giving up 318 total yards. Wake Forest ran the ball 43 times for 111 yards, while Duke’s secondary allowed 207 passing yards on 22 completions.

Duke Team Defense

Ole Miss’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 4th nationally by allowing just 13.9 points per game. In their recent game against Mississippi State, they gave up only 14 points and forced two interceptions. The Rebels held Mississippi State to just 39 rushing yards on 30 attempts, although they did allow 291 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 230.3 passing yards per game against Ole Miss, completing 61.8% of their throws. However, the Rebels have been tough against the run, ranking 5th in the nation by allowing just 85.8 rushing yards per game.

Duke vs Ole Miss Trends

• Duke has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 28 points per game while allowing 26. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-1-1.
• When looking at their past ten home matchups, Ole Miss has an ATS record of 5-4-1 while averaging 28 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Duke Blue Devils have gone 7-2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 5-5.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Ole Miss Rebels have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 1-4 against the spread.

Blue Devils vs Rebels Prediction

Ole Miss is favored by -14.5 points in their week one matchup against Duke. We expect the Rebels to win comfortably, with a projected final score of 32-17 in their favor.

For the over/under, with the line set at 52.5 points, our recommendation is to take the under, as we see the combined score falling short of this total, making the under a good bet.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.