Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Kentucky vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction 11/2/2024

The Kentucky Wildcats (3-5) face off against the Tennessee Volunteers (6-1) on Saturday, November 2nd. This game will be played at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville and televised on SECN. Tennessee is coming off a win in their previous game, while Kentucky is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Auburn. Kickoff is set for 7:45 ET.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers

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Kentucky Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, Kentucky’s offense is averaging 19.1 points per game and ranks 78th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has struggled, with 166.1 yards per game, placing them 116th nationally. They are 127th in passer rating and have converted 38.8% of their third downs.

Brock Vandagriff leads the Wildcats with 1,236 passing yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 78. Demie Sumo-Karngbaye has rushed for 419 yards and four touchdowns, while Dane Key has 587 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, Tennessee’s offense is averaging 39.6 points per game, placing them 12th in the nation. However, they rank 43rd in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is their strength, with 244.4 rushing yards per game on 44.9 attempts, ranking 13th nationally.

Dylan Sampson leads the Volunteers with 838 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Nico Iamaleava has thrown for 1,413 yards and has eight touchdowns with four interceptions. Tennessee ranks 86th in passing yards per game.

Kentucky Team Defense

Kentucky’s defense is ranked 29th nationally, allowing 19.9 points per game. They’ve given up 133.5 rushing yards per game and 178 passing yards, ranking 26th in the country. Opponents have completed 65.8% of their passes against Kentucky, with a passer rating of 84.6.

In their recent game against Auburn, Kentucky allowed 24 points and 500 total yards, including 328 rushing yards on 47 attempts. They also gave up 172 passing yards but managed to force one interception.

Kentucky Team Defense

Heading into their matchup with Kentucky, Tennessee’s defense ranks first in the nation, allowing just 11.6 points per game. They’ve also given up only 88.6 rushing yards per game, the eighth-lowest in the country, and 180 passing yards per game, ranking 29th.

In their latest game against Alabama, Tennessee’s defense allowed 17 points but gave up 486 total yards, including 271 rushing yards. They held Alabama’s passing attack to 215 yards and didn’t allow a passing touchdown.

Kentucky vs Tennessee Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Kentucky Wildcats have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 22 points per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Tennessee has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Kentucky Wildcats have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Tennessee Volunteers have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Wildcats vs Volunteers Prediction

We like Kentucky to cover the +16.5 point spread as road underdogs in their week 10 matchup against Tennessee. Our projected final score is 29-20 in favor of Tennessee, but Kentucky should cover the spread.

With the over/under line set at 45.5 points, our projection of 49 total points suggests taking the over as the best bet.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.