LSU Tigers vs Florida Gators NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF LSU Tigers vs Florida Gators Prediction 11/16/2024

The LSU Tigers (6-3) face off against the Florida Gators (4-5) on Saturday, November 16th. This game will be played at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville and televised on ABC. Both LSU and Florida will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 ET.

LSU Tigers vs Florida Gators

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LSU Offense Breakdown

LSU’s offense is averaging 30.6 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 39th in the nation. However, they are 12th in our offensive power rankings. The Tigers have a strong passing game, ranking 7th in passing yards with 322.8 yards per game. They are 9th in both passing attempts and completions, averaging 42.3 and 26.8 per game, respectively. Their third-down conversion rate is 48.4%, ranking 11th nationally.

Garrett Nussmeier leads LSU’s passing attack with 2,870 yards and 21 touchdowns, though he has thrown 11 interceptions and has a passer rating of 92. The team ranks 59th in passer rating. On the ground, LSU is averaging 115.2 rushing yards per game. Caden Durham leads the team with 460 rushing yards and six touchdowns. Kyren Lacy is the top receiver with 697 yards and seven touchdowns.

Florida Offense Breakdown

Florida’s offense ranks 50th in points per game, averaging 28.1, and they are 51st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. They are 90th in third down conversions, with a 37% success rate. On the ground, they average 156 rushing yards per game.

DJ Lagway leads the Gators with 1,071 passing yards, and Florida ranks 65th nationally in passing yards per game. Lagway has six touchdowns and five interceptions this season. Jadan Baugh leads the rushing attack with 411 yards and six touchdowns, while Elijhah Badger has 560 receiving yards.

LSU Team Defense

LSU’s defense struggled in their latest game, allowing 42 points in a 42-13 loss to Alabama. They gave up 421 total yards, including 312 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns, though they held Alabama to just 109 passing yards.

On the season, LSU’s defense is ranked 51st nationally, allowing 24.9 points per game. They’ve given up 155.3 rushing yards per game and 216.2 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 62.4% of their passes.

LSU Team Defense

Florida’s defense struggled in their recent game against Texas, allowing 49 points and 563 total yards. The Gators gave up 352 passing yards and five touchdowns through the air, while also surrendering 211 rushing yards.

On the season, Florida’s defense is ranked 116th in rushing yards allowed, giving up 167.8 yards per game. They are also ranked 109th in passing yards allowed, with opponents averaging 234.1 yards per game.

LSU vs Florida Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, LSU has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 28 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home games, Florida has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 23 points per game.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Florida Gators have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-4.
  • In their last five contests as the favorite, LSU has a poor record vs the spread going 2-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 5-0.

Tigers vs Gators Prediction

Florida is the +5 point underdog at home in this week 12 matchup against LSU, but we like the Gators to not only cover the spread but win the game outright, with a projected final score of 28-24.

With the over/under line set at 55 points, our projection of 52 total points suggests taking the under as the best play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.