The Michigan State Spartans (3-2) face off against the Oregon Ducks (4-0) on Friday, October 4th. This game will be played at Autzen Stadium in Eugene and televised on FOX. Oregon is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Ohio State. Kickoff is set for 9:00 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Oregon Ducks

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Michigan State Offense Breakdown

Michigan State’s offense ranks 72nd in our power rankings heading into week 6, averaging 21.8 points per game. They are 74th in scoring nationally. Aidan Chiles has thrown for 1,058 yards, but has struggled with nine interceptions and a passer rating of 65.

Michigan State is 33rd in passing attempts, averaging 30.4 per game, and they convert 45.2% of their third downs. Chiles has completed 55.9% of his passes, with five touchdowns. On the ground, they average 135.8 rushing yards per game. Kay’ron Lynch-Adams leads the rushing attack with 306 yards.

Oregon Offense Breakdown

Oregon’s offense is averaging 36 points per game, placing them 27th in the nation, and they are ranked 20th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 1,192 yards and has a passer rating of 122. Oregon ranks 16th in passing completions and 38th in passing yards, averaging 301.8 yards per game. They convert 49% of their third downs.

Gabriel has thrown 9 touchdowns with just one interception, and Oregon leads the nation in completion percentage at 81.3%. Jordan James has rushed for 386 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns. Tez Johnson has 33 catches for 311 yards and four touchdowns.

Michigan State Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense, ranked 35th nationally, has allowed an average of 19 points per game this season. In their recent game against Ohio State, they gave up 38 points, allowing 486 total yards, including 298 passing yards and three touchdowns, while forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 117.2 rushing yards per game against Michigan State, and quarterbacks have completed 61% of their passes, averaging a passer rating of 82.2. The Spartans rank 49th in the nation, allowing 186 passing yards per game.

Michigan State Team Defense

Oregon’s defense played a key role in their 34-13 win over UCLA, allowing just 13 points and forcing two interceptions. They limited UCLA to 11 first downs and 179 total yards, including 54 rushing yards on 23 attempts and 125 passing yards.

On the season, Oregon ranks 21st nationally, allowing 18.8 points per game. They are also 21st in passing yards allowed, giving up just 154.8 yards per game, with a passer rating of 54.2, which ranks 10th. Opponents have completed only 50.8% of their passes. Against the run, Oregon is allowing 115.2 yards per game on 26.5 attempts, the 11th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.

Michigan State vs Oregon Trends

• Across their last three road contests, Michigan State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 23 points per game.
• In their last three games at home, the Oregon Ducks have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 38 points per game in this stretch.
• Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Michigan State Spartans have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
• Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Oregon Ducks have a strong record of 3-0. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.

Spartans vs Ducks Prediction

For this week six matchup between Oregon and Michigan State, we like Oregon to cover the -24 point spread. Our projected final score is 39-13 in favor of the Ducks, making them a good bet to cover at home.

With the over/under line set at 52 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projection has the total points right at 52.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.