Michigan State Spartans vs Boston College Eagles NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Michigan State vs Boston Prediction 9/21/2024

The Michigan State Spartans (3-0) face off against the Boston College Eagles (2-1) on Saturday, September 21st. This game will be played at Alumni Stadium (MA) in Chestnut Hill and televised on ACCN. Michigan State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Boston College is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Missouri. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Boston College Eagles

 

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

Michigan State’s offense was dominant in their 40-0 win, racking up 460 total yards and 22 first downs. The ground game was particularly effective, with the Spartans rushing for 190 yards and three touchdowns. Nate Carter led the way with 91 yards on just eight carries, averaging 11.4 yards per attempt. In the passing game, Aidan Chiles completed 63.2% of his passes for 173 yards and one touchdown, finishing with a passer rating of 110.2.

Chiles’ top target was Aziah Johnson, who caught two passes for 50 yards. Michigan State’s balanced attack resulted in 270 yards through the air and one touchdown.

Boston College Offense Breakdown

In their 27-21 loss to Missouri, Boston College’s offense put up 298 yards, with 249 coming through the air. Thomas Castellanos completed 57.1% of his passes for 249 yards and three touchdowns, earning a passer rating of 92.71. Reed Harris was the top receiver, with one catch for 67 yards.

Boston College’s offense moved the chains 16 times but struggled to establish the run, gaining just 49 yards on 26 carries. Treshaun Ward led the team in rushing with 21 yards on six attempts.

Michigan State Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense was dominant in their most recent game, holding Prairie View A&M to just 17 rushing yards on 27 attempts. The Spartans allowed only 123 passing yards on 9 completions, with one interception. In total, Michigan State gave up just 140 yards of offense and zero points in their 40-0 win.

Michigan State Team Defense

Boston College’s defense will be looking to tighten up after giving up 448 total yards in their last game. Missouri’s offense was able to move the ball effectively, with Boston College allowing 184 rushing yards and 264 passing yards. The Eagles’ defense struggled to get off the field, allowing 22 first downs and a total of 27 points. Against the pass, they gave up 21 completions on 30 attempts.

Michigan State vs Boston College Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Michigan State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 18 points per game.
  • In their last five home games, Boston College has averaged 24 points per game while allowing 19. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Michigan State Spartans have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-5-1.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Boston College Eagles have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Spartans vs Eagles Prediction

Michigan State is coming into this game as +7 point underdogs on the road vs. Boston College. We are predicting a 24-20 win for the Spartans, and we like their chances to cover the spread.

With the over/under line sitting at 45.5 points, our projection of 44 points suggests that taking the under is the best play for this matchup.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.