North Texas Mean Green vs Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF North Texas Mean vs Texas Tech Prediction 9/14/2024

The North Texas Mean Green (2-0) face off against the Texas Tech Red Raiders (1-1) on Saturday, September 14th. This game will be played at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock and televised on FS1. North Texas is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas Tech is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Washington State. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

North Texas Mean Green vs Texas Tech Red Raiders

 

North Texas Offense Breakdown

North Texas’ offense was led by quarterback Chandler Morris, who threw for 322 yards and four touchdowns, completing 59.1% of his passes. Despite throwing three interceptions, Morris finished with a passer rating of 83.71. His top target, DT Sheffield, caught six passes for 74 yards.

The Mean Green’s offense put up 515 total yards, with 193 yards coming on the ground. Damashja Harris was the leading rusher, gaining 142 yards on just 10 carries, including a touchdown. North Texas found the end zone four times through the air and once on the ground.

Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

Behren Morton led Texas Tech’s offense in their 37-16 loss to Washington State, throwing for 323 yards and one touchdown. Morton connected on 58.6% of his passes but also threw two interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 65.52. Josh Kelly was his top target, hauling in nine receptions for 95 yards.

The Red Raiders’ offense put up 491 total yards, with 343 of those coming through the air. The team picked up 24 first downs but struggled on the ground, managing just 148 rushing yards on 27 attempts. Cameran Brown was the most effective rusher, averaging 14 yards per carry on five attempts.

North Texas Team Defense

North Texas’ defense was effective in their most recent game, holding Stephen F. Austin to 20 points and 251 total yards. The Mean Green’s secondary gave up 181 passing yards on 20 completions, but they did pick off one pass. Against the run, they allowed just 70 yards on 30 attempts.

North Texas Team Defense

Texas Tech’s defense will be looking to bounce back after allowing 301 rushing yards and four touchdowns to Washington State in their last outing. The Red Raiders gave up 416 total yards and 37 points, with Washington State completing 9 of 19 passes for 115 yards and one touchdown against them.

North Texas vs Texas Tech Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, North Texas has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 32 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games at home, the Texas Tech Red Raiders have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 13 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, North Texas has an ATS mark of 3-1-1 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Texas Tech Red Raiders have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Mean Green vs Red Raiders Prediction

Our projections have this North Texas vs. Texas Tech matchup as a close one, with Texas Tech as slight -9.5 point favorites. We see a final score of 36-35 in favor of Texas Tech, but we like North Texas to cover the spread as the road underdog.

Given our predicted final score of 71 points, we recommend taking the over on the current line of 68.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.