Northwestern Wildcats vs Purdue Boilermakers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Northwestern vs Boilermakers Prediction 11/2/2024

The Northwestern Wildcats (3-5) face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (1-6) on Saturday, November 2nd. This game will be played at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette and televised on BTN. Both Northwestern and Purdue will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 ET.

Northwestern Wildcats vs Purdue Boilermakers

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Northwestern Offense Breakdown

Northwestern’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 18.4 points per game, which ranks 91st nationally. They are 121st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Their third-down conversion rate is only 25.5%, and they rank 126th in passer rating.

Jack Lausch leads the team with 870 passing yards, but he has a passer rating of 65 and has thrown four touchdowns and four interceptions. Northwestern is averaging 160.2 passing yards per game. Cam Porter leads the rushing attack with 370 yards and five touchdowns. Bryce Kirtz has 414 receiving yards but has yet to score a touchdown.

Purdue Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, Purdue’s offense ranks 102nd in our college football power rankings, scoring just 20.3 points per game. They are 106th in third-down conversions, converting only 33.3% of their attempts. Their passing game has struggled, averaging 170.9 yards per game, and they are 91st in passing attempts per game.

Hudson Card has thrown for 738 yards this season, with a passer rating of 88. He has seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Purdue ranks 74th in rushing, averaging 164.6 yards per game. Devin Mockobee leads the team with 510 rushing yards and averages 6 yards per carry. Jahmal Edrine has 161 receiving yards and one touchdown.

Northwestern Team Defense

Northwestern’s defense is ranked 45th nationally, allowing 22.1 points per game. They are 35th against the run, giving up 117.4 rushing yards per game, but 115th against the pass, allowing 234.9 yards per game.

In their recent game against Iowa, Northwestern allowed 40 points, giving up 203 rushing yards and four touchdowns, though they did force an interception.

Northwestern Team Defense

Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, giving up an average of 38.4 points per game. In their recent 35-0 loss to Oregon, they allowed 35 points and 527 total yards, including 298 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.

Opponents have averaged 216 rushing yards per game against Purdue, and quarterbacks have posted a 103.3 passer rating, completing 63.5% of their passes for an average of 234.9 yards per game.

Northwestern vs Purdue Trends

  • Northwestern has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 25 points per game while allowing 25. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Across their three previous home games, Purdue has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 25 points per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Purdue Boilermakers have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Northwestern Wildcats have a straight up record of 4-1, while going 2-3 against the spread.

Wildcats vs Boilermakers Prediction

With Purdue coming in as the +1.5 point underdogs at home, we like their chances to not only cover the spread but also win straight-up. Our projected final score is 25-23 in favor of Purdue, making them a good bet to win on the money line.

For the over/under, with the line set at 47.5 points, our projection of 48 total points suggests that taking the over is the best play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.