ohio state vs michigan ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Ohio State vs Michigan Prediction 11/25/2023

The Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0) travel to face off against the Michigan Wolverines (11-0) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan Wolverines

The Ohio State Buckeyes Are Coming Off A Win

Defensively, the Buckeyes put together a good game vs. Minnesota as they are coming off a 37-3 against the Golden Gophers. In the win vs. Minnesota, quarterback Kyle McCord concluded with a QB rating of 109.31, connecting on 20 of 30 passes for 212 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

With an over/under line of 51.5 going into the game, the teams fell short of that number with 40 points. Ohio State covered the spread as 27.5-point favorites.

Ohio State heads into this week’s game with a record of 11-0. This year, they have five games on the road and five games at home.

This season, Ohio State has a scoring margin of +24.4. Their ATS record stands at 6-2-2 and they have been favored in all of their games. Over 11 games, the average over/under line for Ohio State’s games has been 52.6 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 42.9 points, resulting in an OU record of 2-8.

The Michigan Wolverines Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan will be looking to build off their 7-point win over Maryland (31-24) as they face off against Ohio State this week. J.J. McCarthy finished with 141 yards against Maryland while going 12 for 23 for a completion percentage of 52.2%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.

With their 55 combined points, Michigan and Maryland surpassed the over/under line of 51.5. Although Michigan won straight-up, it wasn’t enough to cover at -18.5.

Michigan’s current record is 11-0 as they prepare for this week’s game. This year, they’ve played five road games and six matchups.

Michigan heads into this week’s matchup with an ATS record of 5-5-1. So far, they have been favored in every game and have an average scoring margin of +29.3 points per contest. Michigan has an over/under record of 6-5 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 47.3 points with the average over/under line being 48.7 points.

Ohio State Offense Breakdown

On the ground, the Buckeyes are 67th in college football at 364 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 146.5 (84th). So far, they have turned to the passing game 31.5 and have a per game average of 283.7. Overall, they are 22nd in points (33.6 PPG).

Kyle McCord is the team’s leading passer, with 2899 passing yards under his belt and a completion rate of 66.4%. Currently, he’s averaging 9.1 yards per pass attempt.

Michigan Offense Breakdown

Michigan’s rushing attack is ranked 35th in college football with 415 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 171.9 rushing yards per game, placing them 48th nationally. On average, they are attempting 24 passes per game leading to 228.6 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 11th position, averaging 38.3 points per game.

This season, J.J. McCarthy has thrown for 2335 yards while maintaining an average of 13.3 per completion. His completion percentage stands at 73.8%, and he’s recorded 18 touchdowns.

Ohio State Team Defense

Coming into their matchup vs. Michigan, the Ohio State defense is 43rd in points allowed, giving up 9.3 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 144.4 passing yards per game against them (11th in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 108.5 rushing yards, which ranks them 28th in college football.

Michigan Team Defense

In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Michigan’s defense is ranked 197th. Opponents, on average, attempt 25.2 passes against the Wolverines. They are allowing 9 PPG, which places them 42nd in college football. Their rush defense ranks 12th in the NCAA.

Ohio State vs Michigan Trends

  • Looking at Ohio State’s ten most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 3-5-2.
  • At home, Michigan has gone 8-2 against the spread (last ten).
  • Michigan’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 2-1.
  • Ohio State’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 3-1-1.

Ohio State vs Michigan Prediction

After a strong performance against Maryland’s passing game, Ohio State’s pass defense should play well once again. Despite being 3.5-point underdogs at away, I like them to cover against Michigan.

Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 46.5 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 47 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.