The Oregon State Beavers (4-5) face off against the Air Force Falcons (2-7) on Saturday, November 16th. This game will be played at Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy and televised on CBSS. Air Force is coming off a win in their previous game, while Oregon State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the San Jose State. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.
Oregon State Beavers vs Air Force Falcons
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Oregon State Offense Breakdown
Oregon State’s offense is centered around their rushing attack, ranking 15th in the nation with 216 rushing yards per game. They are 11th in rushing attempts, averaging 43.4 per game. Anthony Hankerson leads the team with 870 rushing yards and has scored 14 touchdowns.
Overall, Oregon State is averaging 25.8 points per game, placing them 60th nationally. Quarterback Gevani McCoy has thrown for 1,279 yards, but has just two touchdowns and six interceptions. The Beavers are 99th in passing yards per game.
Air Force Offense Breakdown
Air Force’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 124th in our offensive power rankings and averaging just 16.2 points per game, which places them 95th nationally. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with an average of 90 yards per game, ranking 126th in the country. They are also 133rd in passer rating, and their third-down conversion rate is 36.1%, placing them 100th.
John Busha leads the team with 415 passing yards, but he has just one touchdown and five interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 32. Dylan Carson is the leading rusher with 273 yards, and Air Force ranks first in rushing attempts, averaging 53.7 per game. They are 27th in rushing yards, averaging 203.9 yards per game.
Oregon State Team Defense
Oregon State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 28.8 points per game. In their recent game against San Jose State, they gave up 24 points and 465 total yards, including 395 passing yards, though they did manage to force an interception.
Opponents have averaged 220.6 passing yards per game against Oregon State, completing 57.4% of their passes. The Beavers rank 128th nationally in rushing defense, allowing 174.6 rushing yards per game on 29.8 attempts per contest.
Oregon State Team Defense
Air Force’s defense has allowed an average of 26.7 points per game this season, including 28 points in their recent win against Fresno State. They gave up just 15 first downs and limited Fresno State to -5 rushing yards, but allowed 289 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.
Opponents have averaged 183.6 passing yards per game against Air Force, completing 65.4% of their passes. The Falcons rank 129th in the nation against the run, allowing 176.2 rushing yards per game.
Oregon State vs Air Force Trends
- Across the Oregon State Beavers last ten road games, the team averaged 25 points per game while allowing 29. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-7, while going 4-6 straight-up.
- In their last three games at home, the Air Force Falcons have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 19 points per game in these contests.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Air Force has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 3-7 straight up.
- Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Oregon State Beavers have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.
Beavers vs Falcons Prediction
With Air Force coming in as +4 point underdogs at home, we like their chances to not only cover the spread but to win straight-up. Our projected final score is 22-20 in favor of the Falcons. For this week 12 matchup, we would recommend taking Air Force to cover and win.
As for the over/under line, which is set at 45 points, our projection of 42 total points suggests that taking the under is the best play.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 12, 2024 Air Force Falcons, Oregon State Beavers