Oregon Ducks vs Michigan Wolverines NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Oregon vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction 11/2/2024

The Oregon Ducks (8-0) face off against the Michigan Wolverines (5-3) on Saturday, November 2nd. This game will be played at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Oregon Ducks vs Michigan Wolverines

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Oregon Offense Breakdown

Oregon’s offense is ranked 8th in our power rankings heading into week 10, and they are 20th in points per game, averaging 35. Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 2,371 yards and has a passer rating of 120. The Ducks are 12th in passing yards per game, averaging 300, and 9th in completions, with 24.8 per game. They also lead the nation in completion percentage at 76.4% and convert 49.5% of their third downs.

Gabriel has 18 touchdown passes and five interceptions this season. Leading the rushing attack is Jordan James, who has 800 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Tez Johnson leads the receiving corps with 638 yards and eight touchdowns on 63 catches.

Michigan Offense Breakdown

Michigan’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.5 points per game, which ranks them 82nd nationally. They are also 83rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with only 130.5 yards per game, placing them 126th in the country. Davis Warren, their leading passer, has thrown for 567 yards with six interceptions and just three touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 67.

Michigan ranks 30th in rushing attempts, averaging 36.4 carries per game, and they are 47th in rushing yards, with 173.5 per game. Kalel Mullings leads the ground attack with 694 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Warren has completed 67% of his passes this season.

Oregon Team Defense

Oregon’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 11th nationally by allowing just 15.6 points per game. In their recent game against Illinois, they gave up only 9 points and forced two interceptions. The Ducks allowed 293 total yards, including 132 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 161 passing yards.

Opponents are averaging 125.6 rushing yards per game on 29.9 attempts against Oregon, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of just 64.3, the 11th-lowest in the country. Oregon’s secondary has allowed 173.8 passing yards per game, ranking 24th nationally, and a completion rate of 55.9%.

Oregon Team Defense

Michigan’s defense will look to build on a solid performance against Michigan State, where they allowed 17 points. The Wolverines gave up 354 total yards, including 165 rushing yards on 41 attempts and 189 passing yards. They also forced 18 first downs in the game.

So far this season, Michigan’s defense ranks 18th nationally, allowing just 101.2 rushing yards per game. Opponents have averaged a 90.4 passer rating and 228.5 passing yards per game, completing 62.7% of their throws against the Wolverines.

Oregon vs Michigan Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Oregon Ducks offense has averaged 38 points per game while allowing an average of 19. Oregon posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 6-3-1 ATS.
  • In their last five games at home, the Michigan Wolverines have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Michigan Wolverines have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Oregon Ducks have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Ducks vs Wolverines Prediction

Our projections have Oregon coming out on top in a close 22-21 matchup against Michigan. Even though Michigan is the +14.5 point underdog, we like their chances to cover the spread.

With the over/under line set at 45.5 points, we see these teams falling just short of that total, making the under the best play for this matchup.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.