Penn State Nittany Lions vs Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Penn State vs Wisconsin Prediction 10/26/2024

The Penn State Nittany Lions (6-0) face off against the Wisconsin Badgers (5-2) on Saturday, October 26th. This game will be played at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison and televised on NBC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Wisconsin Badgers

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Penn State Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, Penn State’s offense is averaging 34.2 points per game, placing them 25th in the nation. However, they are ranked 14th in our offensive power rankings. The Nittany Lions are averaging 203.5 rushing yards per game, and Nicholas Singleton has 434 yards on the ground, averaging 6 yards per carry.

Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 1,492 yards with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 117. Penn State ranks 7th in passer rating nationally and 6th in completion percentage, completing 70.9% of their passes. They are converting 48.5% of their third-down attempts.

Wisconsin Offense Breakdown

Wisconsin’s offense has leaned on their run game, averaging 194.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 15th in rushing attempts nationally. Tawee Walker leads the team with 565 rushing yards, nine touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Wisconsin is scoring 29 points per game and ranks 33rd in third-down conversions, converting 43.6% of their attempts.

Quarterback Braedyn Locke has thrown for 1,064 yards with seven touchdowns and five interceptions. Wisconsin ranks 78th in passing yards per game. Locke’s passer rating is 86. Vinny Anthony II leads the receivers with 314 yards and two touchdowns.

Penn State Team Defense

Heading into this week, Penn State’s defense ranks 6th nationally, allowing just 14.5 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 99.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 15th, and 167.5 passing yards, placing them 20th. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 72.6 and a completion percentage of 54.3% against Penn State’s defense.

In their last game, Penn State allowed 30 points but limited USC to 82 rushing yards on 23 attempts. USC threw the ball 50 times, completing 34 passes for 336 yards and three touchdowns, while Penn State’s defense also recorded an interception.

Penn State Team Defense

Wisconsin’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 17.6 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 155.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 12th in the country, and a 54.9% completion rate.

In their recent game against Northwestern, Wisconsin’s defense gave up only 3 points, allowing just 9 first downs and 210 total yards. Northwestern managed 128 rushing yards on 30 attempts and 82 passing yards.

Penn State vs Wisconsin Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Penn State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 36 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Wisconsin has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Wisconsin Badgers have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Penn State Nittany Lions have an overall record of 5-0 while going 1-4 against the spread.

Nittany Lions vs Badgers Prediction

Our projections have Wisconsin winning this matchup as home underdogs vs. Penn State, with a final score of 28-22. Wisconsin comes into this game as +6.5 point underdogs, and we believe they will cover the spread.

With the over/under line set at 47.5 points, we see a lot of value in taking the over, as our model is projecting a combined 50 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.