South Alabama Jaguars vs LSU Tigers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF South Alabama Jaguars vs LSU Prediction 9/28/2024

The South Alabama Jaguars (2-2) face off against the LSU Tigers (3-1) on Saturday, September 28th. This game will be played at Tiger Stadium (LA) in Baton Rouge and televised on SECN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:45 ET.

South Alabama Jaguars vs LSU Tigers

 

South Alabama Offense Breakdown

South Alabama’s offense was dominant in their 48-14 win over Appalachian State, racking up 476 total yards and 27 first downs. The Jaguars’ ground game was particularly effective, with 322 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Fluff Bothwell was the standout rusher, averaging 8.3 yards per carry and finding the end zone twice.

Quarterback Gio Lopez completed 66.7% of his passes for 154 yards and two touchdowns, ending the game with a passer rating of 112.15. Jamaal Pritchett led the receiving corps with six receptions for 68 yards and one touchdown.

LSU Offense Breakdown

Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier led LSU’s offense to a 34-17 win over UCLA, throwing for 352 yards and three touchdowns, completing 72.7% of his passes. Mason Taylor was his top target, with eight receptions for 77 yards.

The Tigers’ offense totaled 455 yards, with 103 yards coming on the ground. Josh Williams led the rushing attack with 62 yards on 13 carries and scored one of LSU’s three touchdowns through the air.

South Alabama Team Defense

South Alabama’s defense will need to tighten up after allowing 393 total yards to Appalachian State. The Jaguars gave up 266 passing yards on 21 completions and allowed 127 rushing yards on 27 attempts. Despite these numbers, South Alabama’s defense did come up with an interception and held Appalachian State to 14 points.

South Alabama Team Defense

LSU’s defense was effective in their most recent game, limiting UCLA to just 14 rushing yards on 22 attempts. The Tigers allowed 281 passing yards on 22 completions, but they picked off one pass and held UCLA to 17 points. In total, LSU gave up 295 yards in the game.

South Alabama vs LSU Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the South Alabama Jaguars have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 36 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last ten home games, LSU has an ATS record of just 3-7. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 36 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the South Alabama Jaguars have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
  • Although the LSU Tigers have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 0-5.

Jaguars vs Tigers Prediction

LSU is the heavy favorite in their week five matchup against South Alabama, but we expect South Alabama to cover the +20.5 point spread. Our projected final score is 36-24 in favor of LSU, but South Alabama should keep it close enough to cover.

For the over/under, with the line set at 65 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projection has the combined score at 60 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.