South Florida Bulls vs San Jose State Spartans NCAAF Betting Prediction
PublishedDecember 12, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:December 12, 2024 ,

NCAAF South Florida vs San Jose State Prediction Bowl

The South Florida Bulls (6-6) face off against the San Jose State Spartans (7-5) on Tuesday, December 24th. This game will be played at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu and televised on ESPN. San Jose State is coming off a win in their previous game, while South Florida is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rice. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

South Florida Bulls vs San Jose State Spartans

 

South Florida Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 11, South Florida’s offense is averaging 31.4 points per game, placing them 35th in the nation. They rank 32nd in rushing, with 191.8 yards per game, and Kelley Joiner has rushed for 766 yards, averaging 7 yards per carry with 11 touchdowns.

Quarterback Bryce Archie has thrown for 1,679 yards, but he has nine touchdowns and nine interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 74. South Florida ranks 71st in passing yards per game. Sean Atkins leads the team with 695 receiving yards.

San Jose State Offense Breakdown

San Jose State’s offense is heavily focused on the passing game, ranking 5th in the nation with 325.2 passing yards per game. They are 6th in passing attempts, averaging 41 per game, and 17th in completions, with 23.6 per game. Heading into week 1, they are 52nd in scoring, with 27.5 points per game, and are ranked 77th in our offensive power rankings.

Walker Eget leads the Spartans’ passing attack with 2,224 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 83. The team ranks 76th in completion percentage at 57.5%. Nick Nash has been the standout receiver, with 1,382 yards and 16 touchdowns on 104 catches. The Spartans’ run game has struggled, averaging just 84.5 yards per game.

South Florida Team Defense

South Florida’s defense struggled in their recent game against Rice, allowing 35 points and 550 total yards, including 430 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air. They did manage to limit Rice to 120 rushing yards on 40 attempts.

On the season, South Florida ranks 166th nationally in passing yards allowed per game (279.1) and 103rd in rushing yards allowed (159.7). Opponents have averaged a 59.7% completion rate and a passer rating of 93 against the Bulls’ defense.

South Florida Team Defense

San Jose State’s defense will look to improve on their season average of 26.4 points allowed per game, which ranks 56th nationally. In their recent game against Stanford, they gave up 31 points but also forced three interceptions. The Spartans allowed 379 total yards, including 252 passing yards and 127 rushing yards.

Opponents have averaged 161.2 rushing yards per game on 41.7 attempts against San Jose State’s defense. Through the air, quarterbacks have averaged 232.7 passing yards, but the Spartans have held them to a passer rating of 72, which ranks 20th in the country.

South Florida vs San Jose State Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, South Florida has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 32 points per game.
  • In their last five home games, San Jose State has averaged 25 points per game while allowing 27. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the South Florida Bulls have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • San Jose State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Bulls vs Spartans Prediction

South Florida is the slight +3 point spread on the road vs. San Jose State in a week one matchup. Our projected score is 29-28 in favor of South Florida, making them a good bet to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 62.5 points, our projection of 57 points suggests that taking the under is the best play.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.