Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Prediction 10/5/2024

The Tennessee Volunteers (4-0) face off against the Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville and televised on ESPN. Tennessee is coming off a win in their previous game, while Arkansas is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texas A&M. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks

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Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Tennessee’s offense has been dominant this season, leading the nation with 54 points per game. They are also 6th in rushing, averaging 293.5 yards per game on 48.5 attempts. Dylan Sampson has rushed for 449 yards, scoring 10 touchdowns and averaging 6 yards per carry.

Quarterback Nico Iamaleava has completed 69.3% of his passes for 892 yards, with seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Tennessee ranks 51st in passing yards, and Iamaleava has a passer rating of 119. Dont’e Thornton Jr. leads the receivers with 242 yards and three touchdowns.

Arkansas Offense Breakdown

Arkansas has been effective on the ground, ranking 10th in rushing attempts and 17th in rushing yards, averaging 214 yards per game. Ja’Quinden Jackson leads the team with 509 rushing yards, nine touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. The Razorbacks are converting 55.4% of their third downs, ranking 5th nationally, and they are scoring 35.8 points per game, placing them 28th in the country. Our power rankings have them as the 38th best offense heading into week 6.

Taylen Green has thrown for 1,236 yards this season, but Arkansas ranks 103rd in passer rating, and Green has five touchdowns and five interceptions. The Razorbacks are 16th in passing yards, averaging 283 per game, and they also rank 16th in passing attempts. Andrew Armstrong leads the team with 420 receiving yards on 29 catches.

Tennessee Team Defense

Tennessee’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking second nationally by allowing just 7 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to an average of 67 rushing yards per game, which ranks sixth in the country. In their last game, they allowed 15 points and 291 total yards against Oklahoma, including 130 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 161 passing yards.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a passer rating of 66 and 125.2 passing yards per game against Tennessee, the sixth-lowest mark in the nation. Oklahoma’s QB completed 10 passes for 161 yards, but Tennessee’s defense didn’t allow a passing touchdown in the game.

Tennessee Team Defense

Arkansas’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 38th nationally by allowing just 20.2 points per game. In their recent matchup against Texas A&M, they gave up 21 points, allowing 300 total yards, including 137 rushing yards on 36 attempts and 163 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 93.6 rushing yards per game against Arkansas, ranking 22nd in the country. The Razorbacks have faced 29.2 rushing attempts per game, while quarterbacks have completed 56.6% of their passes, averaging 226.4 passing yards per game.

Tennessee vs Arkansas Trends

  • Tennessee has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 20. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Across the Arkansas Razorbacks last ten home games, the team averaged 30 points per game while allowing 28. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 9-1, while going 4-6 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Arkansas Razorbacks have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • The Tennessee Volunteers have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Volunteers vs Razorbacks Prediction

Our projection for the Tennessee vs. Arkansas game is a 35-25 win for the Volunteers. Even though Arkansas is the +13.5 point underdog, we like their chances to cover the spread.

With the over/under line set at 60 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projection has the total points right at 60.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.