The UCF Knights (4-5) face off against the Arizona State Sun Devils (6-2) on Saturday, November 9th. This game will be played at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:00 ET.
UCF Knights vs Arizona State Sun Devils
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UCF Offense Breakdown
UCF’s offense is ranked 31st in our power rankings heading into week 11, and they are 27th in points per game, scoring 33.2. Their strength is their run game, ranking 2nd in the nation with 272.3 rushing yards per game on 44.6 attempts per game, the 3rd most in the country.
RJ Harvey leads the team with 1,201 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns, averaging 7 yards per carry. Quarterback KJ Jefferson has thrown for 1,012 yards with seven touchdowns and four interceptions. UCF ranks 79th in passing yards per game.
Arizona State Offense Breakdown
Arizona State’s offense is ranked 25th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11, and they are 36th in points per game, averaging 31.1. Their ground game has been their strength, with 218.2 rushing yards per game on 42.1 attempts.
Cam Skattebo has rushed for 1,005 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown for 1,470 yards with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 97.
UCF Team Defense
UCF’s defense heads into this week ranked 42nd nationally against the run, allowing 119.7 rushing yards per game. In their last game, they gave up just 5 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Arizona did throw for 256 yards, completing 24 of 33 passes, but UCF still held them to just 12 points in the game.
Opposing quarterbacks have posted a 92.4 passer rating against UCF, averaging 248.2 passing yards per game, which ranks UCF 131st in the nation. This season, opposing offenses have averaged 25.4 points per game against UCF’s defense.
UCF Team Defense
Arizona State’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 30th nationally by allowing just 22.9 points per game. In their recent 42-21 win over Oklahoma State, they gave up 21 points and allowed 271 total yards, including 85 rushing yards on 23 attempts and 186 passing yards, while forcing one interception.
Opponents have averaged 115.1 rushing yards per game against Arizona State, ranking them 35th in the country. The defense has faced 30.8 rushing attempts per game (26th fewest nationally) and 33.4 passing attempts per game, allowing 209.5 passing yards per contest.
UCF vs Arizona State Trends
- UCF has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 32. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- Across the Arizona State Sun Devils last ten home games, the team averaged 21 points per game while allowing 27. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 3-7 straight-up.
- Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the UCF Knights have a strong record vs the spread going 3-0. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
- As the betting favorite, the Arizona State Sun Devils have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.
Knights vs Sun Devils Prediction
Our projections have Arizona State winning straight-up with a final score of 28-26 over UCF in this week 11 matchup. However, we like UCF to cover the +3 point spread as the road underdog.
For the over/under, with the line set at 55.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our model projects a combined 54 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 5, 2024 Arizona State Sun Devils, UCF Knights