West Virginia Mountaineers vs Cincinnati Bearcats NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF West Virginia vs Cincinnati Prediction 11/9/2024

The West Virginia Mountaineers (4-4) face off against the Cincinnati Bearcats (5-3) on Saturday, November 9th. This game will be played at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati and televised on FS1. West Virginia is coming off a win in their previous game, while Cincinnati is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Colorado. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Cincinnati Bearcats

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West Virginia Offense Breakdown

West Virginia’s offense is centered around their rushing attack, averaging 205.8 yards per game on the ground, ranking 31st in the nation. They are also 31st in rushing attempts, with 39.9 per game. Jahiem White leads the team with 508 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. The Mountaineers are scoring 28.8 points per game, placing them 52nd nationally, but they are ranked 18th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

Quarterback Garrett Greene has thrown for 1,352 yards, with nine touchdowns and eight interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 78. West Virginia ranks 94th in passing yards per game, averaging 203.8 yards. Hudson Clement is the leading receiver with 383 yards and three touchdowns on 28 catches.

Cincinnati Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 11, Cincinnati’s offense ranks 10th in our power rankings, averaging 29.1 points per game, which places them 50th nationally. They are 31st in third-down conversions, converting 44.6% of their attempts, and their passer rating is 30th in the country.

Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 2,108 yards and has a passer rating of 103. He has completed 65.6% of his passes, throwing 15 touchdowns and four interceptions. Corey Kiner leads the rushing attack with 692 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Xzavier Henderson has 42 receptions for 549 yards and four touchdowns.

West Virginia Team Defense

West Virginia’s defense has allowed 28.4 points per game this season, ranking 63rd nationally. They’ve given up 261 passing yards per game, placing them 142nd, with opposing quarterbacks completing 62.6% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 110.7. Against the run, West Virginia is allowing 125 yards per game, ranking 49th, on 32.6 rushing attempts per game, which is the 42nd fewest in the country.

In their recent game against Arizona, West Virginia’s defense allowed 26 points but gave up just 5 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Arizona threw the ball 33 times, completing 24 passes for 256 yards and two touchdowns.

West Virginia Team Defense

Despite ranking 22nd nationally in points allowed at 21.1 per game, Cincinnati’s defense struggled in their recent matchup against Colorado, giving up 34 points. They allowed 451 total yards, including 323 passing yards and two passing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 240.5 passing yards per game against Cincinnati, ranking 124th nationally, and 162.9 rushing yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 62.4% of their passes against the Bearcats, posting a passer rating of 96.5.

West Virginia vs Cincinnati Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, West Virginia has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Cincinnati Bearcats have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 26 points per game in these contests.
  • As the betting underdog, the West Virginia Mountaineers have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. West Virginia posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
  • As the betting favorite, the Cincinnati Bearcats have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Mountaineers vs Bearcats Prediction

West Virginia is the +5 point spread pick on the road vs. Cincinnati in week 11. Our projections have the Mountaineers winning this game straight-up, with a final score of 30-27, making West Virginia the best bet to cover the spread as the road underdog.

With the over/under line sitting at 56.5 points, we see a combined score of 57 points, making the over the best play for this matchup.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.