The San Francisco 49ers will face off against the Green Bay Packers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, November 24th. This matchup is being played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay.
On Sunday, November 24th at 4:25 ET, the 49ers and Packers will face off on FOX. The Packers are favored at -138 on the money line, with the 49ers at +116. The 49ers are +2.5 on the point spread, and the over/under line is sitting at 48 points for this week 12 matchup at Lambeau Field.
- Date: Sunday, November 24th
- Time: 4:25 ET
- Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay
- TV: FOX
49ers vs Packers
Heading into week 12, the 49ers sit at 5-5, putting them 4th in the NFC West. Our projections give them a 26.8% chance of making the playoffs and an 18.8% chance of winning the division. Despite their record, San Francisco ranks 7th in our NFL power rankings. They have a +2.8 scoring margin this season and are 4-6 against the spread, having been favored in all of their games so far.
In week 11, the 49ers couldn’t take advantage of being at home, losing 20-17 to the Seahawks. They were 6-point favorites but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 5-5. The O/U line for this game was 49 points, and the teams combined for 37. San Francisco’s O/U record is now 5-5.
Heading into week 12 with a 7-3 record, the Packers have an 88.2% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They rank 5th in our NFL power rankings but sit 3rd in the NFC North with a 1-2 division record. Green Bay is 3-2 at home and 4-1 on the road this season.
Against the spread, the Packers are 4-6 and have failed to cover in four straight games. In week 11, they narrowly beat the Bears 20-19 but couldn’t cover the 6-point spread. The O/U line was 41, with the teams combining for 39 points, marking the second straight under in Green Bay’s games.
49ers Injury Report
- Javon Hargrave – Triceps (Out)
- Jon Feliciano – Knee (Questionable)
- Kevin Givens – Groin (Questionable)
- Dre Greenlaw – Achilles (Out)
- Charvarius Ward – Personal (Questionable)
- Nick Bosa – Hip (Questionable)
- Mitch Wishnowsky – Back (Out)
- George Kittle – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Ambry Thomas – Forearm (Out)
- Curtis Robinson – Knee (Out)
- Talanoa Hufanga – Wrist (Out)
- Drake Jackson – Knee (Out)
- Elijah Mitchell – Hamstring (Out)
- Brandon Aiyuk – Knee (Out)
- Darrell Luter Jr. – Pelvis (Out)
- Tatum Bethune – Knee (Questionable)
- Jacob Cowing – Concussion (Questionable)
Packers Injury Report
- Jordan Morgan – Shoulder (Out)
- Luke Musgrave – Ankle (Out)
- Colby Wooden – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Tyler Davis – Shoulder (Out)
- AJ Dillon – Neck (Out)
- Jaire Alexander – Knee (Questionable)
49ers Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 12, the 49ers are 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL with 25 points per game and 2nd in yards per game, averaging 398.9. San Francisco ranks 4th in passing yards per game (251.1) and 7th in rushing yards per game (147.8), with 29.7 rushing attempts per game. They are 4th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (45.4%) and rank 20th in red zone conversion percentage.
Brock Purdy threw for 159 yards (21/28) with one touchdown and one interception in week 11 against the Seahawks. Jauan Jennings led the team with 10 receptions for 91 yards, while Christian McCaffrey had 79 rushing yards on 19 carries. The 49ers scored 7 points in the 1st quarter and 7 in the 4th.
Packers Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 12, the Packers sit 12th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 25, and 4th in yards per game with 387.6. Despite ranking 21st in passing attempts, they are 8th in passing yards per game, averaging 237.7. On the ground, Green Bay is 6th in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards per game with 149.9. They rank 20th in 3rd-down conversions and 18th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 5th in red zone attempts.
Jordan Love posted a passer rating of 112 in week 11, throwing for 261 yards and a touchdown on 13/17 passing. Christian Watson led the team with 4 catches for 150 yards, while Josh Jacobs rushed for 76 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries. Green Bay scored 7 points in the 1st and 3rd quarters against the Bears but struggled on 3rd down, converting only 1 of 5 attempts.
49ers Team Defense
Despite their strong play, the 49ers’ defense struggled in their most recent game, as they lost 20-17 to the Seahawks. They allowed 195 passing yards on 25 completions and forced one interception. The 49ers’ defense also recorded four sacks and limited Seattle to just 78.1% completions.
On the ground, the Seahawks rushed for 94 yards on 23 attempts. The 49ers’ defense also held Seattle to a 46.2% third-down conversion rate in the game.
Packers Team Defense
Despite giving up 179 rushing yards on 34 attempts, the Packers’ defense held the Bears to 19 points in their 20-19 win. Chicago had a chance to win the game with a last-second field goal, but it was missed. The Packers’ run defense allowed 5.3 yards per attempt. Against the pass, Green Bay allowed 212 yards on 23 completions (74.2% completion rate).
The Packers’ defense recorded three sacks and held the Bears to a 43.8% conversion rate on third down. Even though the Bears had some success running the ball, the Packers’ defense did enough to secure the victory.
49ers vs Packers Trends
- Although San Francisco has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 27 points per game in these games.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Green Bay has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the 49ers have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. San Francisco posted a straight up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
- As the betting favorite, the Packers have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Green Bay posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.
49ers vs Packers Prediction
With the point spread sitting at 2.5 in favor of the 49ers, we are taking them to not only cover but win this week 12 matchup vs. the Packers. Our projected final score is 26-19 in favor of the 49ers.
For the over/under, we have a slight lean towards the under, with a projected combined score of 45 points and the O/U line at 48 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 20, 2024 Green Bay Packers, San Francisco 49ers