Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos Prediction 10/13/2024

The Los Angeles Chargers will face off against the Denver Broncos at 4:05 ET on Sunday, October 13th. This matchup is being played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver.

The Chargers are favored on the road as they take on the Broncos at 4:05 ET. The Chargers’ money line odds are -158, while the Broncos’ odds are +133. The point spread has the Chargers -3, and the over/under line is 35.5 points. This week six AFC West matchup is being televised on CBS. The Chargers and Broncos are looking to add to their records in this one.

  • Date: Sunday, October 13th
  • Time: 4:05 ET
  • Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver
  • TV: CBS

Chargers vs Broncos

los angeles chargers nfl

After starting the season with two wins, the Chargers have now dropped two straight, including a 17-10 home loss to the Chiefs in week 4. This leaves them at 2-2, putting them 3rd in the AFC West. Our projections give them a 45.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 2.6% chance of winning the division. Heading into week 6, they rank 21st in our NFL power rankings.

Against the spread, the Chargers are 2-1-1, with both of their wins coming as favorites. Their O/U record stands at 0-4, with their games averaging 29.5 points compared to an average line of 39.1.

After starting the season with two straight losses, the Broncos have now won three in a row, including a 34-18 victory over the Raiders in week 5. Denver was a 3-point favorite in this game and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 4-1. They have covered in three straight games, including two as underdogs. Their O/U record is 2-3, with their games averaging 33.8 points per game.

Heading into week 6, the Broncos have a 3-2 record and rank 6th in the AFC. Our projections give them a 34.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 2.2% chance of winning the AFC West. Despite their winning streak, they rank 28th in our NFL power rankings.

Chargers Injury Report

  • Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
  • Nick Niemann – Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Rashawn Slater – Pectoral (Questionable)
  • DJ Chark – Hip (Out)
  • Joey Bosa – Hip (Questionable)
  • Deane Leonard – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Ja’Sir Taylor – Fibula (Questionable)
  • Joe Alt – Knee (Questionable)
  • Junior Colson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Bucky Williams – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Tyler McLellan – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Chris Collins – Undisclosed (Out)

Broncos Injury Report

  • Audric Estime – Ankle (Out)
  • Alex Palczewski – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Damarri Mathis – Ankle (Out)
  • Luke Wattenberg – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Delarrin Turner-Yell – Knee (Out)
  • Drew Sanders – Achilles (Out)
  • Alex Singleton – Torn Acl (Out)
  • Mike McGlinchey – Knee (Out)
  • Baron Browning – Foot (Out)
  • Tyler Badie – Back (Out)
  • Quinn Bailey – Ankle (Out)

Chargers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, the Chargers rank 24th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in passing attempts per game (23.2) and 29th in passing yards per game (136). Justin Herbert threw for 179 yards (16/27) and a touchdown in week 4. Before that, he had 125 yards in week 3 and 130 yards in week 2.

On the ground, the Chargers are 10th in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards per game, averaging 127.8 yards. J.K. Dobbins had 32 yards on 14 carries in week 4. The Chargers are 18th in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 36.4%.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

denver broncos

Denver’s offense is 29th in our power rankings heading into week 6. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game (19.2) and 26th in yards per game (270.6). The Broncos are 11th in passing attempts but only 26th in passing yards per game (163.8). On the ground, they average 106.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 21st in the league. Denver has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 24.6% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the NFL.

Bo Nix had a strong performance in week 5, throwing for 206 yards and 2 touchdowns with a passer rating of 117. He went 19/27 against the Raiders. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing with 61 yards on 13 carries and also had 5 catches for 50 yards. Denver scored 14 points in the 4th quarter in week 5, after scoring just 3 points in the 4th quarter combined in weeks 3 and 4.

Chargers Team Defense

In their 17-10 loss to the Chiefs, the Chargers’ defense allowed 228 passing yards on 19 completions. They defended the run well, holding the Chiefs to 101 yards on 26 attempts. The defense came up with three sacks and one interception, but still struggled on third downs, allowing the Chiefs to convert 56.2% of their third down attempts. Additionally, the Chargers allowed the Chiefs to complete 65.5% of their passes.

Broncos Team Defense

In their 34-18 win over the Raiders, the Broncos’ defense was able to force three interceptions and come away with three sacks. The Broncos’ defense allowed just 215 passing yards on 22 completions by the Raiders. However, the Broncos did allow 115 rushing yards on 25 attempts, giving up 4.6 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite this, the Broncos held the Raiders to just 18 points and 330 total yards.

The Broncos’ defense held the Raiders to a 59.5% completion percentage and limited them to a 46.7% conversion rate on third down. Denver also won the QB hit battle by a margin of +2, even though they did lose the tackles for loss differential.

Chargers vs Broncos Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Denver has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 17 points per game while allowing 22. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Broncos have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
  • The Chargers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Chargers vs Broncos Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Broncos to cover as home underdogs in their week six matchup against the Chargers. The point spread lines have the Broncos at +3, and we have the Chargers winning by a score of 18-17.

For the over/under, we like this one to finish with 35 combined points, making the under a good pick with the line sitting at 35.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.