The Baltimore Ravens will face off against the Buffalo Bills at 6:30 ET on Sunday, January 19th. This matchup is being played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park.
The Ravens are favored on the road in their AFC matchup against the Bills. The game, with a point spread of -1 in favor of the Ravens, will be played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. The Ravens’ money line odds are -117, and the Bills’ odds are -102. The over/under line is set at 51.5 points, and this divisional round game is being televised on CBS at 6:30 ET.
- Date: Sunday, January 19th
- Time: 6:30 ET
- Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park
- TV: CBS
Ravens vs Bills
After finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record, the Ravens are riding a four-game winning streak, which includes a 28-14 victory over the Steelers in the Wild Card round. Baltimore was favored by 8.5 points and covered the spread, while the 42 combined points fell short of the 44.5-point O/U line. Before that, the Ravens had a 35-10 win over the Browns in week 18 and a 31-2 win over the Texans in week 17. Their last loss came in week 13, when they fell to the Eagles.
Heading into the Divisional round, the Ravens rank 2nd in our NFL power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +9.5 points per game and are 11-6-1 against the spread, including four straight ATS wins. Baltimore’s O/U record is 13-5, with their games averaging 51.2 points (O/U line: 47.1).
Buffalo finished the regular season with a 13-4 record, putting them 2nd in the AFC and 3rd in our power rankings. The Bills went 5-1 in division games and were a perfect 9-0 at home, but they were just 5-4 on the road. After a 25-point loss to the Ravens in week 4, Buffalo bounced back with a 37-point win over the Jaguars in week 3 and a 21-point win over the Dolphins in week 2.
Buffalo has an average scoring margin of +10.1 points per game and is 11-7 against the spread this season. They are 9-5 ATS as favorites and 2-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is also 11-7, with the over hitting in their last two games.
Ravens Injury Report
- Arthur Maulet – Calf/knee (Out)
- Trayvon Mullen – Undisclosed (Out)
- Deonte Harty – Knee (Questionable)
- Zay Flowers – Knee (Questionable)
- Jalyn Armour-Davis – Hamstring (Out)
- Christian Matthew – Undisclosed (Out)
- Owen Wright – Foot (Out)
- Malik Hamm – Knee (Out)
- Rasheen Ali – Gameday Inactive (Out)
- Qadir Ismail – Undisclosed (Out)
Bills Injury Report
- Brandon Codrington – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Travis Clayton – Shoulder (Out)
- Ray Davis – Head (Questionable)
- Baylon Spector – Calf (Out)
- Alec Anderson – Calf (Questionable)
- Tommy Doyle – Undisclosed (Out)
- Shane Buechele – Neck (Out)
Ravens Offense Breakdown
We have the Ravens ranked 1st in our offensive power rankings heading into the Divisional round. They lead the NFL in yards per game (427.1) and are 3rd in points per game, averaging 30.3. Baltimore has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 1st in rushing yards per game with 193.8. They are 29th in passing attempts but still rank 8th in passing yards per game. On 3rd down, the Ravens have converted 48.2% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the NFL.
Lamar Jackson posted a passer rating of 132 in the Wild Card round, throwing for 175 yards and 2 touchdowns on 16/21 passing. Derrick Henry rushed for 186 yards and 2 touchdowns on 26 carries, while Isaiah Likely led the team with 53 receiving yards. Baltimore scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter and 7 in the 3rd before being shut out in the 4th quarter against Pittsburgh.
Bills Offense Breakdown
Josh Allen was excellent in the Wild Card round, throwing for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns on 20/26 passing, with a passer rating of 135. Curtis Samuel led the team with 68 receiving yards on 3 catches, while James Cook rushed for 120 yards on 23 carries. The Bills’ offense converted 8 of 15 third downs but struggled in the red zone, converting just 1 of 5 opportunities.
Buffalo ranks 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 30.9, and they are 9th in passing yards per game with 229.8, despite being 24th in passing attempts. They also rank 9th in rushing yards per game, with 135.6, on 29.7 attempts per game. The Bills are 7th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage.
Ravens Team Defense
Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, the Ravens’ defense held the Steelers to just 29 yards rushing on 11 attempts in their most recent game. Baltimore’s defense also recorded four sacks and held Pittsburgh to 2.6 yards per attempt on the ground. The Ravens allowed 251 passing yards on 20 completions, and the Steelers converted on 45.5% of their third down attempts.
Overall, the Ravens gave up 280 yards of total offense in their 28-14 win. They also had a good day getting to the quarterback, with a +6 advantage in QB hits, even though they lost the tackles for loss battle by -2.
Bills Team Defense
Buffalo’s defense was dominant in their most recent game, holding the Broncos to just 145 yards passing on 60.9% completions. The Bills also allowed only 79 rushing yards on 17 attempts, giving up just one touchdown and forcing Denver to a 22.2% conversion rate on third down. They allowed just 224 total yards in their 31-7 victory.
Buffalo’s secondary was particularly strong, limiting the Broncos to 6.3 yards per attempt. The Bills also recorded two sacks in the game and won the tackles for loss battle.
Ravens vs Bills Trends
- Baltimore has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 17. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- In their last three games at home, the Bills have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 35 points per game in this stretch.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Bills have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
- Baltimore has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
Ravens vs Bills Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Bills to cover as home underdogs in this matchup vs. the Ravens. The point spread lines have the Bills at +1, and we have them winning by a score of 27-21.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 51.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with our projections pointing to a combined score of 48 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 15, 2025 Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills