The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs at 8:15 ET on Monday, November 4th. This matchup is being played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.
The over/under line is set at 45.5 points for the week nine non-conference matchup between the Buccaneers and Chiefs. The game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City and is set for 8:15 ET on Monday, November 4th. The Chiefs are heavily favored at -438 on the money line, while the Buccaneers’ money line odds are +339. The Chiefs are 4-3 heading into this one, while the Buccaneers need to add their record.
- Date: Monday, November 4th
- Time: 8:15 ET
- Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
- TV: ESPN
Buccaneers vs Chiefs
After a week 6 win over the Saints, the Buccaneers have now dropped two straight, including a 31-26 loss to the Falcons in week 8. This leaves them at 4-4, putting them 12th in our power rankings and giving them a 48% chance of making the playoffs. They currently sit 2nd in the NFC South with a 1-2 division record.
So far, the over has hit in 5 straight Bucs games, including week 8, when they and the Falcons combined for 57 points (O/U line: 47.5). Tampa Bay’s O/U record is 6-2 this season, and they have a +2.8 scoring margin. Against the spread, they are 4-4, with 2 of those wins coming as the favorite and 2 as the underdog.
The Chiefs remain unbeaten at 7-0, giving them a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 96.4% chance of winning the AFC West. They rank 4th in our power rankings. Kansas City is 4-2-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +7.1 points per game.
In week 8, the Chiefs beat the Raiders 27-20 but couldn’t cover the 8.5-point spread. The 47 combined points went over the 43-point line. In week 7, they covered as 2.5-point underdogs with a 28-18 win over the 49ers.
Buccaneers Injury Report
- Tykee Smith – Concussion (Questionable)
- Silas Dzansi – Knee (Out)
- Evan Deckers – Hamstring (Out)
- Markees Watts – Quad (Out)
- SirVocea Dennis – Shoulder (Out)
- Kameron Johnson – Ankle (Out)
- Jamel Dean – Hamstring (Out)
- Bryce Hall – Ankle (Out)
- Cody Thompson – Shoulder (Out)
- Greg Gaines – Calf (Questionable)
- Sua Opeta – Knee (Out)
- Chase Edmonds – Knee (Out)
- Chris Godwin – Ankle (Out)
- Sterling Shepard – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Mike Evans – Hamstring (Out)
- Lavonte David – Ankle (Questionable)
Chiefs Injury Report
- Baylor Cupp – Undisclosed (Out)
- Rashee Rice – Knee (Out)
- Nazeeh Johnson – Concussion (Questionable)
- BJ Thompson – Chest (Out)
- McKade Mettauer – Knee (Out)
- Jody Fortson – Knee (Out)
- Mike Danna – Pectoral (Questionable)
- Jaylen Watson – Ankle (Out)
- Isiah Pacheco – Ankle (Out)
- Skyy Moore – Core Muscle (Out)
- JuJu Smith-Schuster – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Marquise Brown – Shoulder (Out)
- Charles Omenihu – Knee (Out)
Buccaneers Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 9, the Buccaneers rank 6th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in both points per game (29.4) and yards per game (389.5). Tampa Bay has been strong on 3rd down, leading the league with a 52.5% conversion rate, and they rank 4th in passing yards per game with 258.5. However, they are 27th in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on just 9.7% of their trips inside the 20.
In week 8, Baker Mayfield threw for 330 yards and 3 touchdowns on 37/50 passing without an interception. Cade Otton led the team with 9 catches for 81 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tampa Bay scored on all 3 of their red zone trips and converted 9 of 14 3rd downs in their loss to the Falcons.
Chiefs Offense Breakdown
Patrick Mahomes bounced back in week 8, posting a passer rating of 96 after completing 27 of 38 passes for 262 yards and two touchdowns against the Raiders. In weeks 7 and 6, he had ratings of 44 and 86, respectively. Kareem Hunt led the rushing attack with 21 carries for 59 yards and a touchdown, while Travis Kelce caught 10 passes for 90 yards and a touchdown. Kansas City scored 10 points in the 4th quarter and converted 12 of 16 3rd downs.
Heading into week 9, the Chiefs rank 9th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24.7 points per game. They are 10th in total offense, with 348 yards per game, and 11th in passing, averaging 225.9 yards per game. On 3rd down, they have been strong, converting 50.5% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league.
Buccaneers Team Defense
In their 31-26 loss to the Falcons, the Buccaneers’ defense struggled to defend the pass, allowing four passing touchdowns and a high completion percentage of 79.3% to Atlanta. The Falcons finished with 265 passing yards and converted 50% of their third down attempts. Tampa Bay also struggled to stop the run, allowing 129 yards on 29 attempts.
Despite giving up 394 total yards, the Buccaneers did manage to record two sacks and had more quarterback hits and tackles for loss than the Falcons. However, big plays in the passing game and inefficiency on third downs contributed to their defensive struggles.
Chiefs Team Defense
In their 27-20 win over the Raiders, the Chiefs’ defense allowed just 33 rushing yards on 21 attempts, with the Raiders averaging only 1.6 yards per attempt on the ground. The Chiefs’ defense also recorded five sacks and held the Raiders to just 33% on third down conversions. Despite this, the Raiders still managed to complete 80% of their passes for 195 yards, including two passing touchdowns.
The Chiefs’ defense also forced the Raiders into 80% passing completion percentage, and the Raiders finished with 228 total yards in the game.
Buccaneers vs Chiefs Trends
- Tampa Bay has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 33 points per game while allowing 26. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- The Chiefs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last home games and 5-0 straight-up.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
- In their last five contests as the favorite, Kansas City has a poor record vs the spread going 2-2-1. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 5-0.
Buccaneers vs Chiefs Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Buccaneers to cover as road underdogs. Even though the Chiefs are our pick to win this week 26-21, the Buccaneers are the pick vs. the spread, as they are currently sitting at +8.5 point road underdogs.
For this week’s Chiefs vs. Buccaneers matchup, our pick is to take the over, with a projected combined score of 47 points and the O/U line sitting at 45.5 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:October 30, 2024 Uncategorized