Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Prediction 9/12/2024

The Buffalo Bills will face off against the Miami Dolphins at 8:15 ET on Thursday, September 12th. This matchup is being played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.

AMZN has the coverage of this week two AFC East matchup between the Dolphins and Bills. The Dolphins are the favorite with a money line of -127 and are -1.5 point favorites. The game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, with the over/under line set at 48.5 points. Kickoff is at 8:15 ET on Thursday, September 12th.

  • Date: Thursday, September 12th
  • Time: 8:15 ET
  • Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
  • TV: AMZN

Bills vs Dolphins

buffalo bills nfl

Buffalo is now 1-0 on the season after their 34-28 win over the Arizona Cardinals. The Bills were -6.5 point favorites at home and their 6-point win was not enough to cover the spread. The combined 62 points easily surpassed the over/under line of 45.5 points. Buffalo had to come from behind, as Arizona led 7-0 after the 1st quarter and 17-10 at halftime.

Josh Allen’s 7-yard touchdown run and a 37-yard field goal by Tyler Bass tied the score at 3 going into halftime. In the 3rd quarter, Allen found Mack Hollins for a 10-yard touchdown to tie the score at 17, and later, he added another touchdown pass to Khalil Shakir to give the Bills a 24-20 lead in the 3rd. Allen added a 6-yard rushing touchdown in the 4th quarter, and Bass added a late field goal to secure the win.

Despite falling behind early, the Dolphins came back to win their most recent game, narrowly defeating the Jaguars 20-17. Miami trailed 17-0 before De’Von Achane’s touchdown run late in the 2nd quarter made it 17-7. Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill connected on an 80-yard touchdown in the 3rd quarter, and Jason Sanders’ field goal with 4:26 left in the 4th tied the game. However, Jacksonville managed to pull off a late field goal to secure the win.

The Dolphins were 3.5-point favorites heading into the game, and their 3-point win meant they didn’t cover the spread. The combined 37 points was lower than the over/under line of 49.5 points.

Bills Injury Report

  • Javon Solomon – Oblique (Questionable)
  • Travis Clayton – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ty Johnson – Knee (Questionable)
  • Shane Buechele – Neck (Out)
  • Darrynton Evans – Hamstring (Out)
  • Tommy Doyle – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Quintin Morris – Shoulder (Probable)
  • Matt Milano – Bicep (Out)
  • Josh Allen – Left Hand (Probable)
  • Taron Johnson – Forearm (Out)
  • Dawuane Smoot – Toe (Questionable)
  • Mitchell Trubisky – Knee (Probable)

Dolphins Injury Report

  • Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
  • Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
  • Cameron Goode – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Cam Smith – Undisclosed (Out)
  • De’Von Achane – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Malik Washington – Quad (Questionable)
  • Patrick McMorris – Foot (Out)
  • Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
  • David Long Jr. – Finger (Probable)
  • Liam Eichenberg – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Anthony Schwartz – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jaelan Phillips – Achilles (Questionable)
  • Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
  • Raheem Mostert – Chest (Questionable)
  • Jalen Ramsey – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Odell Beckham Jr. – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Bradley Chubb – Knee (Out)
  • Isaiah Wynn – Undisclosed (Out)
  • River Cracraft – Undisclosed (Out)

Bills Offense Breakdown

Josh Allen had a big game in the Buffalo Bills’ 34-28 win over the Arizona Cardinals, throwing for 232 yards on 18 completions (78% completion percentage). Allen also threw two touchdowns and added two rushing touchdowns while running for 39 yards. The Bills’ offense picked up 23 first downs and gained 270 yards.

James Cook led the team in rushing with 71 yards on 19 attempts, and Keon Coleman was the top receiver with 51 yards on four catches. Buffalo’s ground game finished with 130 yards, and Allen was sacked twice. The Bills also found success in the passing game, averaging 9.7 yards per attempt.

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

miami dolphins

The Dolphins’ offense put up 319 yards passing in their 20-17 win over the Jaguars, with Tua Tagovailoa going 23/37 for 338 yards and one touchdown. Miami struggled to run the ball, gaining just 81 yards on 25 attempts. They finished with 18 first downs and converted 50% of their third down chances.

Tyreek Hill was their top receiver, with 130 yards and a touchdown, including an 80-yard reception. Tagovailoa was sacked three times and finished with a passer rating of 100.

Bills Team Defense

In their 34-28 win over the Cardinals, the Bills’ defense gave up 124 rushing yards on 25 attempts, including a 5.0 yards per attempt average. Despite this, they held Arizona to just 146 passing yards. The Bills’ defense recorded four sacks and limited the Cardinals to 4.7 yards per passing attempt. Arizona did convert on 53.8% of their third down attempts.

Buffalo’s defense also allowed one passing touchdown and a 67.7% completion percentage to Arizona. The Bills’ offense helped out by controlling the time of possession and keeping their defense off the field for extended periods.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 20-17 win over the Jaguars, the Dolphins’ defense allowed just 139 passing yards on 12 completions. Jacksonville managed just a 57.1% completion rate and converted only 20% of their third down attempts. Miami did struggle against the run, giving up 128 yards on 26 attempts. They did, however, come away with three sacks and held Jacksonville to 17 points.

Bills vs Dolphins Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Across the Dolphins last five home games, the team averaged 23 points per game while allowing 26. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Buffalo has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 6-4.

Bills vs Dolphins Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Bills to cover as road underdogs in this week two matchup between the Bills and Dolphins. Right now, the point spread lines have the Bills at +1.5, making them our pick to not only cover but win this game by a score of 25-18.

As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 48.5 points, we have a slight lean towards the under, with our projected combined score coming in at 43 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.