The Chicago Bears will face off against the Green Bay Packers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th. This matchup is being played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay.
With the money line at +362, the Bears are heavy underdogs as they face the Packers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th. The Packers are favored by -480 on the money line and -10 on the point spread. This week 18 NFC North matchup is being televised on FOX, and the over/under line is set at 41 points.
- Date: Sunday, January 5th
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay
- TV: FOX
Bears vs Packers
Heading into week 18, the Bears are on a 10-game losing streak, dropping their record to 4-12. They sit 4th in the NFC North and 23rd in our power rankings. Chicago has a 0-7 road record but is 4-5 at home. Their playoff chances are 0.0%.
Chicago has a -3.9 scoring margin but is 8-7-1 against the spread. They are 3-1 as favorites and 5-6-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-10, with an average of 39.6 points in their games compared to a 43.1-point line.
Heading into week 18, the Packers sit 3rd in our power rankings despite not having a chance to win the NFC North. They are 11-5 this season, including a 6-2 record at home and a 5-3 record on the road. Green Bay has a +7.8 scoring margin and is 8-7-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 7-8-1, with their games averaging 47 points per game.
In week 17, the Packers lost 27-25 to the Vikings, ending their 3-game win streak. Before that, they had beaten the Seahawks and Saints, including a 34-0 win over New Orleans in week 16. Green Bay was a 14-point favorite in that game and easily covered the spread.
Bears Injury Report
- Ian Wheeler – Knee (Out)
- Larry Borom – Illness (Questionable)
- Rome Odunze – Illness (Questionable)
- Elijah Hicks – Ankle/foot (Questionable)
- Jaylon Jones – Shoulder (Out)
- Braxton Jones – Ankle (Out)
- Jaquan Brisker – Concussion (Out)
- Bill Murray – Chest (Out)
- Teven Jenkins – Calf (Questionable)
- Stephen Carlson – Collarbone (Out)
- Nsimba Webster – Groin (Out)
- Tarvarius Moore – Knee (Probable)
- Tommy Sweeney – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ryan Bates – Concussion (Out)
- Travis Homer – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Patrick Scales – Back (Out)
- DeAndre Carter – Hamstring (Out)
- Andrew Billings – Pectoral (Out)
Packers Injury Report
- Evan Williams – Quad (Questionable)
- Ellis Merriweather – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jordan Morgan – Shoulder (Out)
- Quay Walker – Ankle (Questionable)
- Devonte Wyatt – Concussion (Questionable)
- Christian Watson – Knee (Questionable)
- Tyler Davis – Shoulder (Out)
- AJ Dillon – Neck (Out)
- Andre Dillard – Concussion (Questionable)
- MarShawn Lloyd – Abdomen (Out)
- Zayne Anderson – Concussion (Questionable)
- Jaire Alexander – Knee (Out)
Bears Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 18, the Bears are 27th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 26th in the NFL in scoring, with 17.9 points per game, and rank 32nd in total yards, averaging 287.2 per game. Chicago is 29th in passing yards (184.1) despite ranking 13th in pass attempts. On the ground, they rank 25th in rushing yards per game, with 103.2, on 25.3 attempts per contest. The Bears have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 31.8% of their attempts, but they are 2nd in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 17, Caleb Williams threw for 122 yards (16/28) and had one interception in a loss to Seattle. He was sacked 7 times. DJ Moore led the team with 54 receiving yards, and D’Andre Swift had 53 rushing yards on 12 carries. Chicago failed to score after the 2nd quarter, finishing with just 3 points.
Packers Offense Breakdown
Our offensive power rankings have the Packers at 8th heading into week 18, and they are also 8th in the league in scoring, with 27.4 points per game. They have been strong in the first quarter, ranking 3rd in the NFL in points scored. Green Bay has relied on the run game, averaging 30.8 rushing attempts per game (6th) and 144.6 rushing yards per game (5th). Jordan Love has done a good job protecting the ball, with no interceptions in his last three games.
In week 17, Love threw for 185 yards and a touchdown on 19/30 passing, but he was sacked three times. Josh Jacobs had 69 yards on 17 carries, and Romeo Doubs led the team with 58 receiving yards on 7 catches. The Packers scored 15 points in the 4th quarter against the Vikings, converting 8 of 14 third-down attempts and going 3/4 in the red zone.
Bears Team Defense
In their 6-3 loss to the Seahawks, the Bears’ defense gave up just 143 passing yards on 17 completions. However, they struggled against the run, allowing 122 yards on 25 attempts (4.9 yards per attempt). Chicago’s offense managed only 265 total yards, going 3-of-11 on third down and failing to score a touchdown.
Despite their strong pass defense, the Bears allowed Seattle to convert 38.5% of their third down attempts. Chicago did come away with three sacks in the game, but they also lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -5.
Packers Team Defense
In their 27-25 loss to the Vikings, the Packers’ defense allowed 372 passing yards, with Minnesota completing 33 passes and averaging 8.7 yards per attempt through the air. Despite holding the Vikings to 69 rushing yards on 26 attempts (2.7 yards per attempt), Green Bay struggled to defend the pass, giving up three touchdowns and allowing Minnesota to convert on 50% of their third down attempts.
The Packers’ defense managed just one sack in the game but did come up with one interception. Minnesota finished with 441 total yards in the game, and Green Bay won the tackles for loss battle, despite struggling to generate consistent pressure on the quarterback.
Bears vs Packers Trends
- Through their last ten road games, Chicago has an ATS record of just 3-7. However, their overall record was 1-9 while averaging 13 points per game.
- Across their five previous home games, Green Bay has an ATS mark of 1-3-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 27 points per game.
- Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Bears have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
- Green Bay has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
Bears vs Packers Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Packers to cover as 10-point favorites in this week 18 matchup between the Bears and Packers. Even though the Packers are the heavy favorites at -10, we actually have them winning 27-12.
For this game, we have a point spread pick, and we like the Packers to cover at home. As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 41 points, our pick is to take the under, with a projected combined score of 39 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 2, 2025 Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers