Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Colts vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction 11/3/2024

The Indianapolis Colts will face off against the Minnesota Vikings at 8:20 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. This matchup is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.

The Colts and Vikings will face off on Sunday, November 3rd at 8:20 ET on NBC. The Vikings are the heavy favorite with a money line of -240, and they are favored by -5 points in this week nine non-conference matchup. The game, being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, has an over/under line set at 46.5 points.

  • Date: Sunday, November 3rd
  • Time: 8:20 ET
  • Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis
  • TV: NBC

Colts vs Vikings

indianapolis colts nfl

Heading into week 9, the Colts sit 9th in our NFL power rankings and have a 64.0% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4-4 this season, which includes a 1-3 record in division games. Indy is 3-1 at home but just 1-3 on the road, including a 23-20 loss to the Texans in week 8. Despite the loss, they covered the spread as 5-point underdogs, bringing their ATS record to 7-1 this season.

Indianapolis has covered the spread in six straight games, including two wins as the favorite and five as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +0.4 points per game. Their O/U record is 3-5, with the under hitting in three straight games.

After a 5-0 start, the Vikings have dropped two straight, including a 30-20 loss to the Rams in week 8. Minnesota was favored by 2.5 points but couldn’t get the win, bringing their record to 5-2. They are now 3rd in the NFC North (1-1 in division games) and 6th in the conference. Our power rankings have the Vikings 11th, and they have a 67.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 10.5% chance of winning the division.

Against the spread, the Vikings are 5-2, with both losses coming in their last two games. They are 2-2 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 3-4, with the over hitting in their last two games. Minnesota’s games have averaged 46.4 points, compared to an average line of 45.5.

Colts Injury Report

  • Jaylon Carlies – Ankle (Out)
  • Trevor Denbow – Knee (Out)
  • Wesley French – Ankle (Out)
  • Jelani Woods – Toe (Out)
  • Daniel Scott – Achilles (Out)
  • JuJu Brents – Knee (Out)
  • Ryan Coll – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Will Fries – Tibia (Out)
  • Juwann Winfree – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Samson Ebukam – Achilles (Out)
  • Tyquan Lewis – Elbow (Out)
  • Genard Avery – Foot (Questionable)

Vikings Injury Report

  • T.J. Hockenson – Knee (acl) (mcl) (Questionable)
  • Dalton Risner – Back (Questionable)
  • Blake Cashman – Toe (Questionable)
  • Christian Darrisaw – Knee (Out)
  • Akayleb Evans – Hip (Questionable)
  • Jordan Kunaszyk – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Mekhi Blackmon – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Muse – Hand (Out)
  • J.J. McCarthy – Knee (Out)
  • NaJee Thompson – Knee (Out)
  • Jeremy Flax – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Gabriel Murphy – Undisclosed (Out)

Colts Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, the Colts are 21st in our offensive power rankings. They rank 19th in the NFL in points per game (21.9) and 16th in yards per game (326). Indianapolis averages 198 passing yards per game, which ranks 20th, on 30.2 attempts per game (19th). On the ground, they average 128 rushing yards per game, ranking 11th, on 27 attempts per game. The Colts rank 19th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (37.6%) and 17th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 9th in red zone attempts. They have been strong early in games, ranking 5th in the NFL in 1st-quarter scoring.

In week 8, Anthony Richardson threw for 175 yards (10/32) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception in a loss to the Texans. He was sacked 5 times and had a passer rating of 48. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 105 yards on 20 carries, and Josh Downs had 4 catches for 109 yards and a touchdown. The Colts scored 10 points in the 1st quarter but struggled on 3rd down, converting just 2 of 13 attempts.

Vikings Offense Breakdown

minnesota vikings

Heading into week 9, the Vikings sit 12th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 7th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.9 points per game, and lead the league in 1st-quarter scoring. Minnesota is 16th in passing yards per game (213.6) and 22nd in rushing yards (111.4).

Sam Darnold posted a passer rating of 128 in week 8, throwing for 240 yards and 2 touchdowns on 18/25 passing. Justin Jefferson had 8 catches for 115 yards, and Aaron Jones rushed for 58 yards on 19 carries.

Colts Team Defense

In their 23-20 loss to the Texans, the Colts’ defense allowed 267 passing yards on 25 completions. The Colts defended the run well, allowing just 96 yards on 29 attempts. They also limited the Texans to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down. Indianapolis recorded two sacks and had five more tackles for loss than the Texans.

The Colts gave up one passing touchdown and allowed Houston to complete 67.6% of their passes. Despite their strong defensive effort against the run, the Colts were unable to come out with a win.

Vikings Team Defense

In their 30-20 loss to the Rams, the Vikings’ defense gave up four passing touchdowns and allowed a completion rate of 73.5%. They gave up 279 passing yards and struggled to defend the big play, as the Rams averaged 8.2 yards per passing attempt. Minnesota’s defense didn’t manage to record any sacks in the game.

On the ground, the Vikings held the Rams to 107 rushing yards on 32 attempts, with Los Angeles finishing with 386 total yards. Despite this, the Vikings couldn’t get off the field, as the Rams converted on 40% of their third down attempts. Minnesota’s defense did come up with one interception in the game.

Colts vs Vikings Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Colts have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 19 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Minnesota has an ATS mark of 6-2-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 22 points per game.
  • The last ten games that Indianapolis was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Vikings have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.

Colts vs Vikings Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Colts to cover as road underdogs in this week nine matchup between the Colts and Vikings. The point spread lines have the Colts at +5, and we have them winning 22-21, making them a great pick to cover at +5.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 46.5 points, we are leaning towards the under, with our projections forecasting a combined 43 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.