The Indianapolis Colts will face off against the New England Patriots at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 1st. This matchup is being played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough.
The Patriots are the underdog at +128 on the money line as they host the Colts at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 1st at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. The Colts are favored on the road with a money line of -151 and a point spread of -2.5. The over/under line is set at 42.5 points for this week 13 AFC matchup, which is being televised on CBS.
- Date: Sunday, December 1st
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
- TV: CBS
Colts vs Patriots
Heading into week 13, the Colts hold a 5-7 record, placing them 2nd in the AFC South. They are 1-3 in division games and 4-4 in conference play. Our projections give Indianapolis a 22.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 7.4% chance of winning the division. The Colts rank 25th in our NFL power rankings.
Against the spread, the Colts are 8-4, including a 6-3 record as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is -2.7 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-7, with their games averaging 43 points per game compared to an average line of 44.8.
Heading into week 13, the Patriots are 3-9 and rank 30th in our NFL power rankings. They have a -7.1 average scoring margin and are 4-7-1 against the spread, having been underdogs in all of their games so far. Their O/U record is 7-5, with the over hitting in two straight games.
New England has a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs or winning the AFC East. They are currently 4th in the division with a 1-3 record and are 2-6 in conference games. They are 1-4 at home and 2-5 on the road.
Colts Injury Report
- Ryan Coll – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jaylon Carlies – Ankle (Out)
- Bernhard Raimann – Knee (Questionable)
- Jelani Woods – Toe (Out)
- Trevor Denbow – Knee (Out)
- Josh Downs – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Daniel Scott – Achilles (Out)
- JuJu Brents – Knee (Out)
- Wesley French – Ankle (Out)
- Juwann Winfree – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ashton Dulin – Ankle (Questionable)
- Will Fries – Tibia (Out)
- Ryan Kelly – Calf (Out)
- Samson Ebukam – Achilles (Out)
Patriots Injury Report
- Caedan Wallace – Ankle (Out)
- Curtis Jacobs – Head (Out)
- JaQuae Jackson – Knee (Out)
- Jake Andrews – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jaquelin Roy – Neck (Questionable)
- Cole Strange – Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Oshane Ximines – Knee (Out)
- David Andrews – Shoulder (Out)
- Chukwuma Okorafor – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
- Ja’Whaun Bentley – Pectoral (Out)
Colts Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 13, the Colts are 25th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game (20.2) and 22nd in yards per game (316.3). Indianapolis ranks 23rd in passing attempts, with 199.7 yards per game (24th), and they are 21st in rushing attempts, averaging 116.7 yards per game (17th). The Colts are 23rd in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 36% success rate, and they rank 16th in red zone conversions, despite being 10th in attempts.
Anthony Richardson struggled in week 12, throwing for 172 yards on 11/28 passing in a loss to the Lions. The Colts scored just 6 points, all in the first half. Michael Pittman Jr. led the team with 96 receiving yards, and Richardson added 61 rushing yards. Before this game, Richardson threw for 272 yards in week 11 against the Jets.
Patriots Offense Breakdown
Drake Maye has seen his passer rating decline in each of the last three games, going from 100 in week 11 to 74 in week 12 against the Dolphins, where he threw for 222 yards (22/37) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. New England’s offense struggled on third down in week 12, converting just 3 of 14 attempts, and they didn’t reach the red zone after scoring in 2 of 5 trips in week 11. The Patriots were shut out for three quarters in week 12 before scoring 15 points in the 4th quarter.
New England ranks 29th in the NFL in points per game (16.4) and is last in passing yards per game (167.2) and total yards per game (280.1). They are 26th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate (34.1%) but have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 8th with a 40.6% conversion rate.
Colts Team Defense
In their most recent game, the Colts’ defense gave up 390 total yards in a 24-6 loss to the Lions. The Colts allowed 137 rushing yards on 33 attempts and 253 passing yards. Despite the struggles, they did manage to sack the quarterback three times and had six more tackles for loss than the Lions.
Indianapolis allowed the Lions to convert on 60% of their third down attempts and 72.2% of their passes. However, the Colts’ defense did not give up any passing touchdowns in the game.
Patriots Team Defense
In their 34-15 loss to the Dolphins, the Patriots’ defense gave up 4 passing touchdowns and allowed Miami to complete 72.5% of their passes for 308 yards. The Patriots struggled to generate pressure, with just 2 sacks and a -6 differential in quarterback hits. Despite this, they did defend the run well, allowing only 65 yards on 24 attempts.
New England’s defense also forced Miami into third down situations, as the Dolphins converted just 33.3% of their third down attempts. However, the Patriots will need to improve in the passing game to help their overall defensive performance.
Colts vs Patriots Trends
- Across their last three road contests, Indianapolis has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 20 points per game.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, New England has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 17 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Colts have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.
Colts vs Patriots Prediction
Our pick to win this week 13 matchup between the Colts and Patriots is the Colts, with a final score prediction of 22-16 in favor of Indianapolis. Even though the Patriots are the home team, we like the Colts to cover the spread as 2.5-point favorites.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 42.5 points, we are leaning towards the under, with a projected combined score of 38 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 27, 2024 Indianapolis Colts, New England Patriots