The Washington Commanders will face off against the Dallas Cowboys at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th. This matchup is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington.

The Cowboys are the underdog with a point spread of +4.5 as they face off against the Commanders at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. The Commanders are favored with money line odds of -227. On FOX, the Commanders and Cowboys will wrap up their regular season, with Washington favored by -4.5. The over/under line is set at 44 points.

• Date: Sunday, January 5th
• Time: 1:00 ET
• Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington
• TV: FOX

Commanders vs Cowboys

Washington heads into week 18 on a four-game winning streak, bringing their record to 11-5 after a 30-24 victory over the Falcons in week 17. The Commanders covered the 3.5-point spread in that game and have now won two straight against the spread. They are 10-5-1 ATS this season, with a +5.6 scoring margin, and they rank 9th in our NFL power rankings.

Washington has a 100% chance of making the playoffs, but they can’t win the NFC East. They are 3-2 in division games and 8-3 in conference play. The over has hit in their last two games, including week 17, when the Commanders and Falcons combined for 54 points, surpassing the 46.5-point line.

Heading into week 18, the Cowboys sit 28th in our power rankings and have a 7-9 record, eliminating them from playoff contention. Dallas is 3-2 in division games and 5-6 in conference play, putting them 3rd in the NFC East. They’ve been better on the road (5-3) than at home (2-6) this season.

Dallas is 6-10 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -7.1 points per game. Their O/U record is 11-5, with the over hitting in three straight games. Their games have averaged 48.5 points this season, with an average O/U line of 45.2.

Commanders Injury Report

• Colson Yankoff – Hamstring (Out)
• Norell Pollard – Undisclosed (Out)
• Tyler Owens – Ankle (Questionable)
• Jordan Magee – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Kazmeir Allen – Ankle (Out)
• Dyami Brown – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Austin Seibert – Hip (Out)
• Tyler Biadasz – Ankle (Questionable)
• Austin Ekeler – Concussion (Questionable)
• Andrew Wylie – Groin (Questionable)
• Noah Brown – Kidney (Out)
• Cornelius Lucas – Groin (Questionable)
• Marshon Lattimore – Hamstring (Questionable)

Cowboys Injury Report

• Dak Prescott – Hamstring (Out)
• DeMarcus Lawrence – Foot (Out)
• Zack Martin – Ankle/shoulder (Out)
• Amani Oruwariye – Foot (Out)
• Trevon Diggs – Knee (Out)
• CeeDee Lamb – Shoulder (Out)
• Kemon Hall – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Donovan Wilson – Knee (Questionable)
• Sam Williams – Knee (Out)
• T.J. Bass – Thigh (Questionable)
• Markquese Bell – Shoulder (Out)
• John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)
• Josh Butler – Knee (Out)
• DeMarvion Overshown – Knee (Out)
• Earl Bostick Jr. – Leg (Out)
• Caelen Carson – Shoulder (Out)
• Nathan Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)

Commanders Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 18, the Commanders are 6th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 5th in the NFL in points per game (28.9) and 4th in yards per game (375.9). Their rushing attack is 3rd in the league, averaging 156.6 yards on 31.8 attempts per game. On 3rd down, they convert 45.6% of the time, which ranks 5th in the NFL.

Jayden Daniels threw for 227 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 17, completing 24 of 36 passes. He was sacked 5 times and threw 1 interception. Daniels also led the team in rushing with 127 yards on 16 carries. Olamide Zaccheaus had 8 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown.

Cowboys Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 18, the Cowboys sit 26th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.7, and 19th in yards per game with 324.3. Dallas ranks 11th in passing yards per game (227.1) and 27th in rushing, with 97.2 yards per game on the ground. They are 22nd in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 17th in red zone attempts, but they have been efficient when they get there, ranking 8th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 17, Dallas struggled offensively, scoring just 7 points in a loss to the Eagles. Cooper Rush threw for 147 yards, with 2 interceptions, after posting a passer rating of 108 in week 16 and 119 in week 15. Rico Dowdle led the rushing attack with 104 yards on 23 carries, while Brandin Cooks had 4 catches for 52 yards. The Cowboys will be without CeeDee Lamb in week 18, as he was placed on injured reserve with a shoulder injury.

Commanders Team Defense

In their 30-24 overtime win over the Falcons, the Commanders’ defense held Atlanta to just a 20% conversion rate on third down. They allowed 211 passing yards on 19 completions and limited the Falcons to 54.3% completions. Washington’s defense also picked off one pass and gave up just one passing touchdown.

On the ground, the Commanders allowed 126 rushing yards on 23 attempts, with Atlanta averaging 5.5 yards per attempt. Despite this, Washington’s defense stood out on third downs, helping the team secure the overtime victory.

Cowboys Team Defense

In their 41-7 loss to the Eagles, the Cowboys’ defense allowed 197 passing yards on just 13 completions, but gave up three passing touchdowns. Philadelphia found success on the ground, rushing for 179 yards on 42 attempts. Dallas struggled to get off the field on third down, allowing the Eagles to convert 46.2% of their third down attempts.

The Cowboys’ defense didn’t record any sacks in the game and allowed Philadelphia to hit on some big plays, evidenced by their 10.4 yards per attempt figure. Dallas will be looking for a much better defensive performance in their next outing.

Commanders vs Cowboys Trends

• Through their last ten road games, Washington has an ATS record of just 4-5-1. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 24 points per game.
• Across the Cowboys last five home games, the team averaged 23 points per game while allowing 27. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
• The last ten games that Dallas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 3-7 straight up.
• As the betting favorite, the Commanders have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Cowboys to cover as home underdogs in this week 18 matchup between the Cowboys and Washington Commanders. Right now, the Cowboys are sitting at +4.5 point underdogs, and we have them winning 27-23. As for an over/under pick, with the line at 44 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 50 points.

For this week 18 matchup, we have the Cowboys pulling out the win and covering the spread as home underdogs. This is a great opportunity to take advantage of the line, as we have the Cowboys winning 27-23. Additionally, with the line sitting at 44 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, projecting a combined score of 50 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.