The Washington Commanders will face off against the Philadelphia Eagles at 8:15 ET on Thursday, November 14th. This matchup is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.
The Eagles are favored at -174 on the money line as they host the Commanders at 8:15 ET on AMZN. Washington is +147 on the money line and +3.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is at 48.5 points. This week 11 NFC East matchup is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.
- Date: Thursday, November 14th
- Time: 8:15 ET
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
- TV: AMZN
Commanders vs Eagles
Washington heads into week 11 with a 7-3 record, putting them 2nd in the NFC East. Our projections give them an 89.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 36.5% chance of winning the division. They rank 9th in our NFL power rankings. Against the spread, the Commanders are 7-2-1, with a +7.3 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 7-3, with the over hitting in their last two games.
After winning three straight, Washington fell to the Steelers in week 10, dropping them to 7-3. They couldn’t cover as 1.5-point favorites, losing 28-27 at home. The O/U line was 45.5, and the teams combined for 55 points. In week 9, the Commanders beat the Giants 27-22, covering the 4-point spread.
With a 7-2 record, the Eagles sit atop the NFC East and have a 63.4% chance of winning the division. They’ve won five straight, including a 28-point victory over the Cowboys in week 10. In week 9, they edged the Jaguars 28-23, and in week 8, they beat the Bengals 37-17. They also defeated the Giants and Browns in weeks 7 and 6, respectively.
Heading into week 11, the Eagles rank 7th in our power rankings and have a 95.3% chance of making the playoffs. They have an average scoring margin of +8 and are 5-4 against the spread. Their O/U record is 4-5, with an average of 43.8 points in their games.
Commanders Injury Report
- Brian Robinson Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Tyler Biadasz – Ribs/thumb/foot (Questionable)
- Noah Igbinoghene – Thumb (Probable)
- Marshon Lattimore – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Kevon Seymour – Suspension (Out)
- Jonathan Allen – Pectoral (Out)
- Jamison Crowder – Calf (Out)
- Cornelius Lucas – Ankle (Questionable)
- Dante Fowler Jr. – Groin (Probable)
- Nick Bellore – Knee (Questionable)
- Andrew Wylie – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Austin Seibert – Right Hip (Questionable)
- Clelin Ferrell – Knee (Questionable)
- Javontae Jean-Baptiste – Ankle (Out)
- Jordan Magee – Elbow (Probable)
- Brandon Coleman – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Norell Pollard – Undisclosed (Out)
- Colson Yankoff – Hamstring (Out)
Eagles Injury Report
- Byron Young – Hamstring (Out)
- Nakobe Dean – Groin (Questionable)
- Britain Covey – Shoulder (Out)
- Bryce Huff – Wrist (Probable)
- DeVonta Smith – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Darius Slay Jr. – Ankle (Questionable)
- James Bradberry IV – Lower Leg (Out)
- John Ross – Undisclosed (Out)
- Le’Raven Clark – Undisclosed (Out)
- Dallas Goedert – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jordan Mailata – Hamstring (Questionable)
Commanders Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 11, the Commanders are 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They rank 3rd in the NFL in points per game (29) and 4th in yards per game (377). Despite being 26th in passing attempts, they are 11th in passing yards, averaging 223.5 per game. Washington leans on the run game, ranking 4th in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game (153.5).
Jayden Daniels threw for 202 yards on 17/34 passing in week 10, posting a passer rating of 68. Terry McLaurin had 5 catches for 113 yards, leading the team in receiving for the 3rd time in 4 games. Austin Ekeler rushed for 44 yards and 2 touchdowns on 13 carries. Washington scored 20 points in the first half but failed to score in the 4th quarter.
Eagles Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia’s offense is currently 8th in our power rankings, and they sit 6th in the NFL in both points per game (25.9) and yards per game (373.9). The Eagles have leaned heavily on their run game, leading the league in rushing attempts and ranking 2nd in rushing yards per game with 176.1. Jalen Hurts has posted impressive passer ratings in recent weeks, including 115 in week 10, 132 in week 9, and 132 in week 8. Against the Cowboys in week 10, he threw for 202 yards and 2 touchdowns.
On 3rd down, the Eagles rank 14th in the NFL with a conversion rate of 39.2%, and they are 26th in red zone conversion percentage. However, they did convert 4 of 5 red zone opportunities in week 10. Philadelphia has struggled early in games, ranking 28th in 1st-quarter scoring.
Commanders Team Defense
In their 28-27 loss to the Steelers, Washington’s defense gave up just 172 passing yards but allowed three passing touchdowns. They picked off one pass and limited Pittsburgh to a 48.3% completion rate. However, the Commanders struggled against the run, giving up 140 yards on 43 attempts.
Washington’s defense recorded three sacks and held the Steelers to a 43.8% third-down conversion rate. Despite their strong play against the pass, they were unable to prevent Pittsburgh from scoring through the air.
Eagles Team Defense
In their most recent game, the Eagles’ defense was outstanding, allowing just 49 passing yards on 17 completions in their 34-6 win over the Cowboys. Dallas really struggled to move the ball, as Philadelphia gave up only 97 rushing yards on 24 attempts. The Eagles’ defense was tough on third down, allowing the Cowboys to convert just 21.4% of their third down attempts.
Philadelphia also came away with three sacks and one interception, while holding the Cowboys to just 146 total yards. The Eagles’ defense didn’t allow a single touchdown and limited Dallas to a completion percentage of 58.6%.
Commanders vs Eagles Trends
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Washington has an ATS record of 3-1-1 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- Philadelphia has played well in their previous three home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 33 points per game while allowing 8. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Commanders have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-0-1 in these scenarios.
- In their last five contests as the favorite, Philadelphia has a poor record vs the spread going 2-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 4-1.
Commanders vs Eagles Prediction
Our pick against the spread is to take Washington to cover as road underdogs in this week 11 matchup vs. Philadelphia. As of now, the point spread has the Commanders at +3.5, and we have the Eagles winning 27-24.
For an over/under pick, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 51 points and the O/U line sitting at 48.5 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 12, 2024 Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Commanders