Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction 11/24/2024

The Dallas Cowboys will face off against the Washington Commanders at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th. This matchup is being played at Northwest Stadium in Landover.

On Sunday, November 24th, the Commanders will host the Cowboys at 1:00 ET at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The Commanders are the heavy favorite with a money line of -558, while the Cowboys are at +408. The Commanders are favored by -10, and the over/under line is at 44.5 points. You can catch this week 12 NFC East matchup on FOX.

  • Date: Sunday, November 24th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Northwest Stadium, Landover
  • TV: FOX

Cowboys vs Commanders

dallas cowboys nfl

Dallas heads into week 12 against Washington on a five-game losing streak, dropping their record to 3-7. After a week 5 win over the Steelers, the Cowboys have lost three straight, including a 34-10 home loss to the Texans in week 11. They were unable to cover the spread as 7-point underdogs, and the 44 combined points went over the 41.5-point line.

With their recent struggles, the Cowboys now rank 32nd in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.1% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2-8 against the spread this season, with a -10.6 average scoring margin. Their O/U record is 6-4, with their games averaging 48 points per contest.

Washington enters week 12 against the Cowboys looking to end a two-game losing streak, which includes a 28-27 home loss to the Steelers in week 10 and a 26-18 road loss to the Eagles in week 11. The Commanders are now 7-4, putting them 2nd in the NFC East. They have a 2-1 record in division games and are 5-2 in conference play.

Despite their recent losses, Washington still has an 87.7% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They rank 13th in our NFL power rankings. The Commanders have an average scoring margin of +5.9 points per game and are 7-3-1 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 7-4, with their games averaging 50.1 points compared to an average line of 46.3.

Cowboys Injury Report

  • Jourdan Lewis – Neck (Questionable)
  • Dak Prescott – Hamstring (Out)
  • DeMarcus Lawrence – Foot (Out)
  • Zack Martin – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Brandin Cooks – Knee (Out)
  • Chuma Edoga – Toe (Questionable)
  • Amani Oruwariye – Back (Out)
  • DaRon Bland – Foot (Questionable)
  • Sam Williams – Knee (Out)
  • John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Hunter Luepke – Calf (Questionable)
  • Earl Bostick Jr. – Leg (Out)
  • Marshawn Kneeland – Knee (Out)
  • Nathan Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jake Ferguson – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Tyler Smith – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Markquese Bell – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Tyler Guyton – Shoulder (Questionable)

Commanders Injury Report

  • Colson Yankoff – Hamstring (Out)
  • Norell Pollard – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Javontae Jean-Baptiste – Ankle (Out)
  • Austin Seibert – Right Hip (Questionable)
  • Jamison Crowder – Calf (Out)
  • Nick Bellore – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jonathan Allen – Pectoral (Out)
  • Marshon Lattimore – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Kevon Seymour – Suspension (Out)

Cowboys Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, the Cowboys rank 28th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the league in passing attempts per game (41.1), averaging 240.6 passing yards, which ranks 7th. However, Dallas is 23rd in points per game (18.7) and 20th in yards per game (322.3). On the ground, they rank 28th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards, with just 81.7 per game. The Cowboys are converting 35.6% of their third-down attempts, ranking 23rd in the NFL, but they are 2nd in red zone conversion percentage.

Cooper Rush threw for 354 yards (32/55) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception in week 11, but Dallas scored just 10 points, all in the second quarter. CeeDee Lamb led the team with 8 catches for 93 yards, while Rico Dowdle had 28 rushing yards on 10 carries. Dallas has struggled in the second half, failing to score in the 3rd or 4th quarter in weeks 10 and 11.

Commanders Offense Breakdown

washington commanders

Heading into week 12, the Commanders are 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28, and 6th in yards per game with 366.7. Despite ranking 24th in passing attempts, they are 14th in passing yards per game. Washington leans on the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 6th in rushing yards per game. They are 8th in 3rd-down conversions and 5th in 1st-quarter scoring, but they rank 26th in red zone conversion percentage despite being 2nd in red zone attempts.

Jayden Daniels threw for 191 yards (22/32) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception in week 11 against the Eagles. He was sacked 3 times. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team with 63 rushing yards on 16 carries, while Austin Ekeler had 8 receptions for 89 yards. Washington scored 7 points in the 1st quarter and 8 in the 4th.

Cowboys Team Defense

The Cowboys’ defense gave up 141 rushing yards on just 25 attempts in their 34-10 loss to the Texans. They allowed Houston to gain 391 total yards, with 250 yards coming through the air. Dallas defended the pass well in terms of yardage, but they struggled to stop the run, allowing 5.6 yards per attempt.

Dallas’ defense managed one interception and held Houston to a 33.3% conversion rate on third downs. However, they only had one sack and were behind in both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

Commanders Team Defense

The Commanders’ defense gave up 228 rushing yards to the Eagles in their most recent game, which included 40 rushing attempts. Despite this, they held Philadelphia to 26 points in an 26-18 loss. Washington’s defense also allowed 206 passing yards on 18 completions, with two sacks and a 56.2% third-down conversion rate for the Eagles.

Washington’s offense struggled, managing just 18 points and 206 total yards. The Commanders also lost the tackles for loss differential by -5 in the game.

Cowboys vs Commanders Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Dallas has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 21 points per game.
  • Across their last five home contests, Washington has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-1-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 29 points per game.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Cowboys have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-5.
  • Washington has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction

Our model has the Cowboys losing to Washington by a score of 23-22, making Washington our pick to win this week 12 matchup. However, with the point spread sitting at 10 points in favor of the Cowboys, we like the Cowboys to cover as our top pick vs. the spread.

As for the over/under, with the line at 44.5 points, we have these teams combining for 45 points, making the over a great value pick.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.