The Denver Broncos will face off against the Los Angeles Chargers at 8:15 ET on Thursday, December 19th. This matchup is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood.
The Chargers are favored at -161 on the money line as they host the Broncos at 8:15 ET on Thursday, December 19th at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. The Chargers are -3 point favorites, and the game is being televised on AMZN. The over/under line is set at 42.5 points for this week 16 AFC West matchup.
- Date: Thursday, December 19th
- Time: 8:15 ET
- Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
- TV: AMZN
Broncos vs Chargers
Denver’s 31-13 win over the Colts in week 15 extended their winning streak to four games, bringing their record to 9-5. The Broncos are currently 6th in the AFC and have a 93.1% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. However, they have no chance of winning the AFC West. In division games, Denver is 2-2, and they are 5-4 against conference opponents.
Against the spread, the Broncos are 11-3 this season, including five straight wins. They have covered in all seven games as the favorite and are 4-3 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +6.4 points per game. Denver’s O/U record is 9-5, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.
After snapping their two-game losing streak with a 23-16 win over the Broncos in week 6, the Chargers picked up three more wins in a row, including a 27-17 victory over the Titans in week 10 and a 34-27 win over the Bengals in week 11. However, they followed that up with two straight losses, falling 19-17 to the Chiefs in week 14 and 40-17 to the Buccaneers in week 15. The Chargers were 3-point favorites against Tampa Bay but couldn’t get the win at home, dropping their record to 8-6.
Despite their recent struggles, the Chargers still have an 87.7% chance of making the playoffs, though they have no chance of winning the AFC West. They currently rank 16th in our NFL power rankings and are 9-4-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +3.4 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-9, with their games averaging 38.6 points compared to an average line of 42.6.
Broncos Injury Report
- Delarrin Turner-Yell – Knee (Out)
- Riley Moss – Knee (Questionable)
- Jaleel McLaughlin – Quad (Questionable)
- Tyler Badie – Back (Out)
- Pat Surtain II – Ankle (Probable)
- Quinn Bailey – Ankle (Out)
- John Franklin-Myers – Foot (Questionable)
- D.J. Jones – Finger (Questionable)
- Alex Singleton – Torn Acl (Out)
Chargers Injury Report
- Hayden Hurst – Hip (Out)
- Will Dissly – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Denzel Perryman – Groin (Questionable)
- Eli Apple – Hamstring (Out)
- Jalen Reagor – Finger (Out)
- J.K. Dobbins – Knee (Out)
- Justin Herbert – Ankle (Questionable)
- Kristian Fulton – Knee (Questionable)
- Alohi Gilman – Hamstring (Out)
- Simi Fehoko – Elbow (Out)
- Asante Samuel Jr. – Shoulder (Out)
- Elijah Molden – Knee (Questionable)
- Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
- Otito Ogbonnia – Pelvis (Questionable)
- Quentin Johnston – Ankle (Questionable)
- Bucky Williams – Undisclosed (Out)
- Tyler McLellan – Undisclosed (Out)
- Chris Collins – Undisclosed (Out)
- Brenden Rice – Shoulder (Out)
- Cam Hart – Concussion (Questionable)
Broncos Offense Breakdown
Our offensive power rankings have the Broncos at 24th in the NFL heading into week 16. They rank 21st in yards per game (311.1) and 23rd in passing yards, with 202.7 per game on 33.6 attempts (10th). Denver is 19th in rushing yards (108.4) and 16th in attempts. They are converting 37.7% of their 3rd downs, which ranks 16th, and they are 19th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 10th in red zone attempts.
Bo Nix threw for 130 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 15, but he also had 3 interceptions. Courtland Sutton led the team with 32 receiving yards on 3 catches. Denver scored 21 points in the 4th quarter against the Colts, after being held to 10 points through the first 3 quarters.
Chargers Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 16, the Chargers are 15th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 17th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21, and are 25th in passing yards per game with 196.4. On the ground, they average 105.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st in the league. Los Angeles is 20th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 37.1% success rate, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 6th in the league with a 41.7% conversion rate.
In week 15, the Chargers struggled offensively in the second half, failing to score after putting up 17 points in the first half. Justin Herbert threw for 195 yards, going 21/33 with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Gus Edwards led the team in rushing with 23 yards on 8 carries, while Ladd McConkey had 5 receptions for 58 yards and a touchdown. The Chargers failed to convert a 3rd down, going 0/6, but they scored on 2 of their 3 red zone trips.
Broncos Team Defense
The Broncos’ defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as they allowed just 161 passing yards and forced the Colts to complete only 17 passes. Despite giving up 149 rushing yards on 32 attempts, they held the Colts to just a 3.7-yard average per attempt. Denver’s defense also came up with two interceptions and didn’t allow a passing touchdown.
Overall, the Colts converted just 26.7% of their third down attempts, and the Broncos’ defense held them to just 13 points in a 31-13 Denver win. They also had two sacks and were able to generate nine more quarterback hits than the Colts.
Chargers Team Defense
In their 40-17 loss to the Buccaneers, the Chargers’ defense struggled to defend the big play in the passing game. The Chargers gave up 283 yards through the air on just 22 completions, but Tampa Bay made the most of their opportunities, averaging 10.5 yards per attempt and scoring four passing touchdowns. The Chargers’ defense allowed the Bucs to convert on 60% of their third down attempts and forced just one interception.
On the ground, the Chargers allowed 223 rushing yards on 39 attempts, giving up 506 total yards in the game. The Chargers’ inability to stop the run resulted in Tampa Bay averaging 5.7 yards per attempt on the ground. Los Angeles also only managed one sack in the game.
Broncos vs Chargers Trends
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 17 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- In their last three home games, Los Angeles has averaged 20 points per game while allowing 14. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Broncos have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Chargers have gone 8-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.
Broncos vs Chargers Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Broncos to cover as road underdogs in their matchup against the Chargers. Right now, the point spread lines have the Broncos at +3, and we have them winning by a score of 23-17.
For this week 16 matchup, we also like the under as a strong play. The O/U line is sitting at 42.5 points, and our projections have these teams finishing with just 40 combined points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:December 18, 2024 Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Chargers