Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction 10/20/2024

The Miami Dolphins will face off against the Indianapolis Colts at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 20th. This matchup is being played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

FOX will broadcast the week seven AFC matchup between the Dolphins and Colts from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 20th, sees the Colts favored at -3.5 on the point spread and -189 on the money line. The over/under line is at 43.5, with the Dolphins at +155 on the money line.

  • Date: Sunday, October 20th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
  • TV: FOX

Dolphins vs Colts

miami dolphins nfl

Heading into week 7, the Dolphins are 2-3, putting them 2nd in the AFC East. After three straight losses, Miami bounced back in week 5 with a 15-10 win over the Patriots. The Dolphins were 2-point favorites in that game, and they covered the spread with the win. The combined score of 25 points fell short of the 37-point line.

Our power rankings have the Dolphins 31st in the NFL, and they have a 9% chance of making the playoffs. Miami is 1-4 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -10.6 points per game. Their O/U record is also 1-4, with their games averaging 34.6 points.

Heading into week 7, the Colts sit at 3-3, putting them 2nd in the AFC South. They have a 51.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 13.8% chance of winning the division. Our power rankings have them 17th. After two straight losses, Indy bounced back with a week 6 win over the Titans, bringing their record to 3-3. They were 2.5-point underdogs in that game but came away with a 20-17 win.

The Colts are 5-1 against the spread, including four straight ATS wins. They are 4-0 as underdogs and 1-1 as favorites. Their O/U record is 3-3, with their games averaging 46.3 points per game compared to a 43.4-point line.

Dolphins Injury Report

  • Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
  • Cameron Goode – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Skylar Thompson – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Grant DuBose – Shoulder (Out)
  • Cam Smith – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • De’Von Achane – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Patrick McMorris – Foot (Out)
  • Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jordan Poyer – Shin (Questionable)
  • River Cracraft – Upper Body (Out)
  • Bradley Chubb – Knee (Out)
  • Isaiah Wynn – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
  • Jevon Holland – Hand (Questionable)
  • Jaelan Phillips – Knee (Out)
  • Anthony Schwartz – Knee (Out)
  • Tua Tagovailoa – Concussion (Out)
  • Cam Brown – Knee (Out)

Colts Injury Report

  • Ryan Coll – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jason Bean – Shoulder (Out)
  • Anthony Richardson – Oblique (Questionable)
  • Daniel Scott – Achilles (Out)
  • JuJu Brents – Knee (Out)
  • Wesley French – Ankle (Out)
  • Jelani Woods – Toe (Out)
  • DeForest Buckner – Ankle (Out)
  • Ryan Kelly – Calf (Questionable)
  • Samson Ebukam – Achilles (Out)
  • Tyquan Lewis – Elbow (Out)
  • Cameron McGrone – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Will Fries – Tibia (Out)
  • Jonathan Taylor – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Juwann Winfree – Undisclosed (Out)

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Miami’s offense ranks 31st in our power rankings, averaging 12 points per game, which is 29th in the NFL. They are 23rd in yards per game (302.4) and 26th in passing yards, with 185.6 per game on 32.2 attempts (13th). On the ground, they rank 18th in rushing yards per game (116.8) on 29.6 attempts, which is 9th in the league. Miami is converting 30.3% of their third-down attempts, ranking 26th, but they are 2nd in red zone conversion percentage.

Tyler Huntley threw for 194 yards on 18/31 passing in week 5, with one interception. Jaylen Wright led the team with 86 rushing yards on 13 carries, and Tyreek Hill had 6 catches for 69 yards. Miami scored 6 points in the 3rd and 4th quarters, after being shut out in the 2nd quarter.

Colts Offense Breakdown

indianapolis colts

Heading into week 7, the Colts rank 15th in our offensive power rankings. They are 14th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.2 points per game, and 13th in total offense with 336.8 yards per game. Indianapolis is 17th in passing yards per game (219.2) and 17th in rushing, averaging 117.7 yards per game. Despite being 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, the Colts rank 6th in red zone attempts and 7th in 3rd-down conversions.

In week 6, Joe Flacco threw for 189 yards (22/38) with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Josh Downs led the team with 66 receiving yards on 7 catches, while Tyler Goodson had 51 rushing yards. The Colts scored 10 points in the 4th quarter against the Titans after being held scoreless in the 3rd quarter.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 15-10 win over the Patriots, the Dolphins’ defense gave up 151 rushing yards on just 19 attempts, with New England finishing at 7.9 yards per attempt. Despite this, Miami’s defense was tough against the pass, allowing only 148 yards through the air. They also limited New England to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down and held them to 299 total yards.

Miami’s defense recorded two sacks and held the Patriots to a 52.9% completion rate. The Dolphins also won the quarterback hit battle, finishing with four more hits on the quarterback than New England.

Colts Team Defense

In the Colts’ 20-17 win over the Titans, their defense gave up 146 rushing yards on 28 attempts, including a 5.2 yards per attempt average. Despite this, the Colts’ defense was tough against the pass, allowing just 95 yards through the air on 16 completions. They also picked off one pass and held the Titans to a 36.4% third-down conversion rate.

Indianapolis didn’t record any sacks in the game but did manage to hit the quarterback two more times than the Titans. The Colts’ defense limited the Titans to just 17 points, and Tennessee finished with only 241 total yards in the game.

Dolphins vs Colts Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 19 points per game in these contests.
  • Across the Colts last five home games, the team averaged 17 points per game while allowing 26. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Dolphins have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 1-9 in these matchups.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Colts have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.

Dolphins vs Colts Prediction

With the point spread sitting at 3.5 in favor of the Dolphins, our pick is to take Miami to cover as road underdogs in this week seven matchup between the Dolphins and Colts. We have the Dolphins coming out on top by a score of 25-17.

For the over/under line, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 42 points and the O/U line at just 43.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.