The Atlanta Falcons will face off against the Carolina Panthers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 13th. This matchup is being played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte.
On the money line, the Falcons are -266 as they face off against the Panthers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 13th at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. The Panthers are the home underdog, with their money line at +218 and the point spread at +6. Looking at the over/under line, the Falcons are favored by -6 points, and the over/under line is at 47.5 points. This week six matchup is a crucial one for both teams.
- Date: Sunday, October 13th
- Time: 4:25 ET
- Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
- TV: FOX
Falcons vs Panthers
With two straight wins, the Falcons sit atop the NFC South at 3-2, including a 2-0 division record. After a week 3 loss to the Chiefs, Atlanta bounced back with home wins over the Saints (28-26) and Bucs (36-30). They covered the spread against Tampa Bay, but couldn’t cover the 2.5-point line against New Orleans.
Our projections give the Falcons a 58.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 44% chance of winning the division. They rank 17th in our power rankings. Atlanta has an average scoring margin of -0.8 points per game and is 2-3 against the spread this season.
Heading into week 6, the Panthers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 36-10 road loss to the Bears in week 5. This leaves Carolina at 1-4 on the season, with their only win coming in week 3 against the Raiders. The Panthers are currently 4th in the NFC South and rank 30th in our NFL power rankings, giving them just a 1.4% chance of making the playoffs.
Against the spread, Carolina is 1-4, with their only win coming in week 3, when they covered as 5.5-point underdogs against Las Vegas. The Panthers have been underdogs in all of their games so far. Their O/U record stands at 4-1, with the over hitting in three straight games.
Falcons Injury Report
- Bralen Trice – Knee (Out)
- Nate Landman – Quad/calf (Questionable)
- Troy Andersen – Knee (Questionable)
- DeMarcco Hellams – Ankle (Out)
- Rondale Moore – Knee (Out)
- Harrison Hand – Knee (Out)
- Drew Dalman – Ankle (Out)
- Milo Eifler – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jase McClellan – Illness (Questionable)
- Dee Alford – Concussion (Questionable)
Panthers Injury Report
- Tommy Tremble – Concussion (Questionable)
- Sam Franklin Jr. – Foot (Out)
- Amaré Barno – Undisclosed (Out)
- Dane Jackson – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Derrick Brown – Knee (Out)
- D.J. Wonnum – Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Jordan Fuller – Hamstring (Out)
- Ian Thomas – Calf (Questionable)
- Austin Corbett – Bicep (Out)
- Josey Jewell – Hamstring/groin (Questionable)
- Adam Thielen – Hamstring (Out)
- Shaq Thompson – Achilles (Out)
- Jadeveon Clowney – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Anthony Brown – Thumb (Out)
- Taylor Moton – Elbow (Questionable)
- Jaden Crumedy – Ankle (Out)
- Andrew Raym – Concussion (Questionable)
- Jonathon Brooks – Knee (Questionable)
- Xavier Legette – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Popo Aumavae – Undisclosed (Out)
Falcons Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 6, the Falcons are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 16th in the NFL, scoring 22.2 points per game, and are 9th in total yards, averaging 357.4 per game. Atlanta has been pass-heavy, ranking 5th in pass attempts and 6th in passing yards (260.6 per game). On the ground, they rank 27th in attempts and 26th in rushing yards, with 96.8 per game. The Falcons are 23rd in 3rd-down conversions, with a 30.8% success rate, but they are 9th in red zone conversions.
Kirk Cousins threw for 509 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 5, completing 42 of 58 passes. Drake London had 12 catches for 154 yards and a touchdown, while Bijan Robinson led the team with 61 rushing yards on 12 carries. Atlanta scored 10 points in the 4th quarter and 6 in overtime against the Buccaneers.
Panthers Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 6, the Panthers are 26th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 16.6 points per game, which ranks 27th in the NFL. They are 23rd in total yards per game (291.2), with 180.4 passing yards per game (24th) on 34 attempts per game. On the ground, they average 110.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 19th, on 23.4 attempts per game. Carolina has struggled on third down, converting just 28.3% of their attempts, which ranks 25th in the league, but they are 6th in red zone conversion percentage.
Andy Dalton threw for 136 yards and an interception in week 5, after passing for 220 yards in week 4 and 319 yards in week 3. Chuba Hubbard led the Panthers with 97 rushing yards on 13 carries in week 5, and Jalen Coker had 4 catches for 68 yards. Carolina scored just 10 points in week 5, with all of them coming in the first half.
Falcons Team Defense
Despite giving up 160 rushing yards on just 26 attempts, the Falcons’ defense held the Buccaneers to 173 passing yards in their 36-30 overtime win. Tampa Bay finished with 333 total yards, and Atlanta allowed them to convert on 54.5% of their third down attempts. The Falcons gave up just one sack in the game.
The Buccaneers did find some success through the air, as they completed 79.2% of their passes and managed to score three passing touchdowns. However, Atlanta’s defense was able to limit the big plays in the passing game, as Tampa Bay averaged 7.2 yards per attempt.
Panthers Team Defense
In their 36-10 loss to the Bears, the Panthers’ defense allowed 296 passing yards on just 20 completions, including two touchdowns. Their defense struggled to generate pressure, as they managed only one sack and lost the quarterback hit differential by eight. Overall, the Panthers gave up 424 total yards, with Chicago finding success on the ground with 128 rushing yards on 39 attempts.
Despite allowing the Bears to convert on 36.4% of their third down attempts, Carolina’s defense couldn’t get off the field, as Chicago’s offense controlled the game and consistently moved the ball downfield.
Falcons vs Panthers Trends
- Across the Falcons last three road games, the team averaged 18 points per game while allowing 35. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
- Across the Panthers last three home games, the team averaged 18 points per game while allowing 35. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Panthers have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Falcons have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.
Falcons vs Panthers Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Panthers to cover as home underdogs in this week six matchup between the Panthers and Falcons. With the point spread sitting at +6 in favor of the Panthers, we have them winning and covering by a score of 26-24.
For the over/under, with the line at 47.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with our projections having these teams finishing with 50 combined points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:October 9, 2024 Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers