Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction 10/27/2024

The Atlanta Falcons will face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 27th. This matchup is being played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay.

FOX will broadcast the week eight NFC South matchup between the Falcons and Buccaneers, with the game kicking off at 1:00 ET. The Falcons are the favorite on the road, with their money line at -140 and favored by -2.5 points. The Buccaneers, playing at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, have a money line of +118. The over/under line is set at 46 points.

  • Date: Sunday, October 27th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay
  • TV: FOX

Falcons vs Buccaneers

atlanta falcons nfl

Despite a week 7 loss to the Seahawks, the Falcons remain atop the NFC South with a 4-3 record, including a 3-0 mark in division play. They rank 16th in our power rankings, and our projections give them a 56.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 44.7% chance of winning the division. Atlanta is 2-0 on the road this season but just 2-3 at home.

Against the spread, the Falcons are 3-4, with an average scoring margin of -0.9 points per game. Their O/U record is also 3-4, with their games averaging 47.4 points compared to an average line of 45.6.

Heading into week 8, the Buccaneers hold a 4-3 record, placing them 10th in our power rankings and giving them a 65.5% chance of making the playoffs. They are also 4-1 in conference play and 2-2 at home. After a 24-point win over the Saints in week 6, Tampa Bay couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 41-31 to the Ravens in week 7. The O/U line was 51 points, but the teams combined for 72, marking the Bucs’ fourth straight over.

Tampa Bay’s O/U record is 5-2 this season, and they are 4-3 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +3.9 points. They covered the 3.5-point spread against the Saints but couldn’t cover as 4.5-point underdogs vs the Ravens. The Bucs are 2-1 ATS as favorites and 2-2 as underdogs.

Falcons Injury Report

  • Bralen Trice – Knee (Out)
  • Matthew Bergeron – Neck (Questionable)
  • DeMarcco Hellams – Ankle (Out)
  • Troy Andersen – Knee (Questionable)
  • Harrison Hand – Knee (Out)
  • Micah Abernathy – Knee (Out)
  • Rondale Moore – Knee (Out)
  • Drew Dalman – Ankle (Out)
  • Lorenzo Carter – Concussion (Out)
  • Antonio Hamilton Sr. – Back (Questionable)

Buccaneers Injury Report

  • Payne Durham – Calf (Questionable)
  • SirVocea Dennis – Shoulder (Out)
  • Silas Dzansi – Knee (Out)
  • Evan Deckers – Hamstring (Out)
  • Markees Watts – Quad (Out)
  • Tykee Smith – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Kameron Johnson – Ankle (Out)
  • Sua Opeta – Knee (Out)
  • Cody Thompson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Chase Edmonds – Knee (Out)
  • Chris Godwin – Ankle (Out)
  • Mike Evans – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Rakim Jarrett – Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Bryce Hall – Ankle (Out)
  • Jamel Dean – Hamstring (Out)

Falcons Offense Breakdown

After a 509-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 5, Kirk Cousins threw for 232 yards (24/35) in week 7, with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions against the Seahawks. Bijan Robinson led the rushing attack with 103 yards on 21 carries, while Kyle Pitts had 7 receptions for 65 yards.

Atlanta ranks 13th in the NFL, scoring 23.3 points per game, and they are 12th in our offensive power rankings. They average 368.4 yards per game, which is 7th in the league, and they rank 19th in 3rd-down conversions with a 38% success rate.

Buccaneers Offense Breakdown

tampa bay buccaneers

Heading into week 8, the Buccaneers rank 5th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 29.9 points per game, which is 3rd in the NFL. They are also 5th in yards per game, with 383.4. Tampa Bay leads the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage, converting 50.6% of their attempts, and they rank 4th in red zone attempts, although their conversion rate of 10.7% ranks 22nd.

In week 7, Baker Mayfield threw for 370 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 2 interceptions, against the Ravens. Cade Otton led the team with 8 receptions for 100 yards. Tampa Bay scored 21 points in the 4th quarter, but it wasn’t enough to overcome a 10-point deficit after the 1st quarter.

Falcons Team Defense

In their 34-14 loss to the Seahawks, the Falcons allowed 236 passing yards on 19 completions, including two touchdowns. Seattle found success through the air, averaging 8.1 yards per attempt. Atlanta’s defense struggled to generate pressure, managing just one sack and losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

On the ground, the Falcons gave up 103 rushing yards on 26 attempts, with Seattle finishing with 339 total yards. Atlanta’s defense also allowed the Seahawks to convert on 36.4% of their third down attempts.

Buccaneers Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Buccaneers’ defense allowed five passing touchdowns and gave up 264 yards through the air in a 41-31 loss to the Ravens. The defense struggled to defend the big play, as Baltimore averaged 12 yards per passing attempt. Overall, the Buccaneers allowed 508 yards of total offense, with 244 yards coming on the ground on just 30 attempts, including a long touchdown run by Lamar Jackson.

Despite allowing 77.3% of passes to be completed, the Buccaneers held the Ravens to a 37.5% third-down conversion rate. Tampa Bay managed two sacks in the game but lost the quarterback hit battle by -2.

Falcons vs Buccaneers Trends

  • In their last three road games, Atlanta has averaged 25 points per game while allowing 29. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three home contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 33 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Tampa Bay has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Falcons have an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 against the spread.

Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction

For this week eight matchup between the Falcons and Buccaneers, we have the Buccaneers coming in as 2.5-point favorites. Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Falcons to not only cover but win the game. Our projected final score is 20-19 in favor of the Falcons.

As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 46 points, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 39 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.