Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Prediction 12/5/2024

The Green Bay Packers will face off against the Detroit Lions at 8:15 ET on Thursday, December 5th. This matchup is being played at Ford Field in Detroit.

The Lions are favored at -185 on the money line as they host the Packers at 8:15 ET on Thursday, December 5th at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are looking to add to their record, while the Packers are also looking to add to their record. Amazon is handling the TV coverage of this week 14 matchup, with the Packers at +3.5 on the point spread and the over/under line set at 51 points.

  • Date: Thursday, December 5th
  • Time: 8:15 ET
  • Location: Ford Field, Detroit
  • TV: AMZN

Packers vs Lions

green bay packers nfl

With three straight wins, the Packers are now 9-3, including a 4-1 record on the road. After a narrow 20-19 win over the Bears in week 11, Green Bay bounced back with two comfortable home victories, beating the 49ers 38-10 in week 12 and the Dolphins 30-17 in week 13. They covered the spread in both games, including a 3.5-point line against Miami.

Heading into week 14, the Packers rank 4th in our power rankings and have a 99.1% chance of making the playoffs. They are 6-6 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +6.5 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-6-1, with their games averaging 46.5 points.

Detroit’s 11-1 record puts them atop both the NFC North and our NFL power rankings. The Lions have now won 10 straight, including a 23-20 victory over the Bears in week 13. They couldn’t cover the 9.5-point spread in that game, but they did cover in weeks 12 and 11, with a 24-6 win over the Colts and a 52-6 win over the Jaguars, respectively.

According to our projections, the Lions have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and an 84.7% chance of winning the division. They have an average scoring margin of +15 points per game and are 9-3 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 5-6-1, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Packers Injury Report

  • Arron Mosby – Concussion (Probable)
  • Colby Wooden – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Luke Musgrave – Ankle (Out)
  • Jordan Morgan – Shoulder (Out)
  • Edgerrin Cooper – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Tyler Davis – Shoulder (Out)
  • AJ Dillon – Neck (Out)
  • Josh Myers – Pectoral (Questionable)
  • Romeo Doubs – Concussion (Questionable)
  • MarShawn Lloyd – Abdomen (Out)
  • Isaiah McDuffie – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Rasheed Walker – Knee (Questionable)
  • John FitzPatrick – Back (Questionable)
  • Jaire Alexander – Knee (Questionable)
  • Josh Jacobs – Calf (Questionable)
  • Elgton Jenkins – Knee (Questionable)
  • Corey Ballentine – Knee (Questionable)

Lions Injury Report

  • Jalen Reeves-Maybin – Neck (Out)
  • Alex Anzalone – Forearm (Out)
  • DJ Reader – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Kyle Peko – Pectoral (Out)
  • Kalif Raymond – Foot (Out)
  • Taylor Decker – Knee (Questionable)
  • John Cominsky – Knee (Out)
  • Emmanuel Moseley – Hamstring (Probable)
  • Michael Badgley – Hamstring (Out)
  • Carlton Davis – Knee (Questionable)
  • Marcus Davenport – Elbow (Out)
  • Aidan Hutchinson – Tibia (Out)
  • Josh Paschal – Knee (Questionable)
  • Ifeatu Melifonwu – Finger (Out)
  • Levi Onwuzurike – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Derrick Barnes – Knee (Out)
  • Netane Muti – Shoulder (Out)
  • David Bada – Achilles (Out)
  • Nate Lynn – Shoulder (Out)
  • Mekhi Wingo – Knee (Out)
  • Ennis Rakestraw Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
  • Malcolm Rodriguez – Knee (Out)
  • Connor Galvin – Knee (Out)
  • Antoine Green – Concussion (Out)

Packers Offense Breakdown

Green Bay’s offense has been strong early in games, ranking 4th in the NFL in 1st-quarter scoring. They’re 7th in points per game (26.5) and 3rd in yards per game (382.4), despite being 29th in passing attempts. Jordan Love has been efficient, posting a 129 passer rating in week 13, with 274 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21/28 passing.

Josh Jacobs, who is questionable for week 14, had 43 rushing yards on 19 carries in week 13. Green Bay ranks 5th in rushing yards per game (148.5) and 6th in rushing attempts. They are 16th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions.

Lions Offense Breakdown

detroit lions

Jared Goff has been consistent over his last three games, throwing for 221 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Bears in week 13, with a passer rating of 100. He had a 93 rating in week 12 and a perfect 158 rating in week 11. Goff hasn’t thrown an interception in his last three games. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the Lions in receiving in week 13 with 5 catches for 73 yards, after his 161-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 11. David Montgomery rushed for 88 yards on 21 carries in week 13.

Detroit is currently 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 31.9 points per game, and are 2nd in total yards with 395.2 per game. Despite ranking 26th in passing attempts, they are 5th in passing yards per game. The Lions are 4th in rushing yards and 3rd in rushing attempts. They rank 4th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 45.7%.

Packers Team Defense

In their 30-17 win over the Dolphins, the Packers’ defense allowed 336 passing yards on 37 completions. However, they were tough against the run, giving up just 39 yards on 14 attempts. The Packers’ run defense allowed only 2.8 yards per attempt. Despite allowing 80.4% completions, the Packers limited Miami to 28.6% on third down and recorded five sacks.

Lions Team Defense

Despite allowing three passing touchdowns, the Lions’ defense came up with five sacks and held the Bears to just 20 points in a 23-20 win. Chicago completed only 51.3% of their passes against Detroit, finishing with 223 yards through the air. The Lions’ defense was tough on third downs, allowing the Bears to convert just 46.7% of their attempts.

On the ground, the Lions gave up 78 yards on 15 attempts. Even though they allowed 301 total yards, Detroit’s defense made key plays to help secure the victory, including five sacks and seven quarterback hits.

Packers vs Lions Trends

  • Although Green Bay has a straight up record of 3-0 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 24 points per game in these games.
  • Across the Lions last ten home games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 20. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 8-2, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Packers have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Lions have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Packers vs Lions Prediction

Our point-spread pick for this week 14 matchup between the Packers and Lions is to take the Packers to cover as road underdogs. They are currently sitting at +3.5 point spreads, and we have them winning by a score of 29-22.

As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 51 points, we like the over, projecting these teams to finish with 51 combined points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.