The Jacksonville Jaguars will face off against the Detroit Lions at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th. This matchup is being played at Ford Field in Detroit.
The Jaguars and Lions will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are heavily favored, with money line odds of -794 compared to the Jaguars at +522. This non-conference matchup has the Lions favored by -13 points, and the over/under line is set at 47.5 points. The game will be televised on CBS.
- Date: Sunday, November 17th
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Ford Field, Detroit
- TV: CBS
Jaguars vs Lions
Heading into week 11, the Jaguars are on a three-game losing streak, including a 12-7 home loss to the Vikings in week 10. This dropped Jacksonville to 2-8, leaving them 4th in the AFC South. Our power rankings have the Jags 29th, and they have just a 1.5% chance of making the playoffs.
Jacksonville is 6-4 against the spread, with four straight ATS wins. They covered as 7-point underdogs vs Minnesota, losing by 5. The O/U line was 42.5, and the teams combined for 19 points.
With seven straight wins, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 99.4% chance of making the playoffs. They are 8-1 overall and 6-1 in conference play, including a 2-0 record against division opponents. Detroit is 5-0 on the road and 3-1 at home this season.
Against the spread, the Lions are 7-2, with a +12.6 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 4-4-1, with their games averaging 50.6 points. In week 10, they beat the Texans 26-23 but didn’t cover the 4-point spread. The combined scoring matched the 49-point line, resulting in a push.
Jaguars Injury Report
- Christian Kirk – Collarbone (Out)
- Arik Armstead – Concussion (Questionable)
- Ezra Cleveland – Ankle (Questionable)
- Trevor Lawrence – Left Shoulder (Questionable)
- Tank Bigsby – Ankle (Questionable)
- De’Shaan Dixon – Knee (Out)
- David White Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Keilan Robinson – Toe (Questionable)
- Maason Smith – Ankle (Questionable)
- Cooper Hodges – Leg (Out)
- Patrick Murtagh – Ankle (Out)
Lions Injury Report
- Jalen Reeves-Maybin – Neck (Out)
- Kyle Peko – Pectoral (Out)
- Kalif Raymond – General Soreness (Questionable)
- Taylor Decker – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Za’Darius Smith – Personal (Questionable)
- John Cominsky – Knee (Out)
- Emmanuel Moseley – Pectoral (Questionable)
- Michael Badgley – Hamstring (Out)
- Marcus Davenport – Elbow (Out)
- Netane Muti – Shoulder (Out)
- David Bada – Achilles (Out)
- Sam LaPorta – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Aidan Hutchinson – Tibia (Out)
- Ifeatu Melifonwu – Ankle (Questionable)
- Derrick Barnes – Knee (Out)
- Connor Galvin – Knee (Out)
- Antoine Green – Concussion (Out)
- Malcolm Rodriguez – Ankle (Questionable)
- Brodric Martin – Knee (Questionable)
- Nate Lynn – Shoulder (Out)
Jaguars Offense Breakdown
Jacksonville’s offense has struggled to find consistency, as they rank 21st in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the league in points per game, averaging 20.2, and sit 25th in total yards per game with 302.9. The Jaguars rank 23rd in passing yards per game (195.2) and 25th in rushing, averaging 107.7 yards on 22.9 attempts per game. On third down, they rank 27th in the NFL with a 33% conversion rate, and they are 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 7th in red zone attempts.
In week 10, Jacksonville scored just 7 points, all in the first quarter, in a loss to the Vikings. Mac Jones threw for 111 yards and 2 interceptions, completing 14 of 22 passes. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team with 44 rushing yards on 11 carries, while Evan Engram had 6 catches for 40 yards.
Lions Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 11, the Lions rank 4th in our offensive power rankings and are 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 31.6. They are 7th in the league in passing yards per game (219.6) despite ranking 27th in passing attempts. Jared Goff threw for 240 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 10, but he also had 5 interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 59.
On the ground, Detroit is 5th in rushing attempts and 7th in rushing yards per game, averaging 147.3 yards. Jahmyr Gibbs led the way in week 10 with 71 yards on 19 carries. The Lions also rank 6th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 43.6% success rate, and they converted 7 of 12 attempts in week 10.
Jaguars Team Defense
In their 12-7 loss to the Vikings, the Jaguars’ defense played well in terms of generating turnovers, as they picked off three passes. However, they struggled to stop the run, allowing 169 rushing yards on 43 attempts. Despite giving up 402 total yards, including 233 through the air, they managed to keep Minnesota to just a 35.7% conversion rate on third down.
Jacksonville’s defense also came up with one interception and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns in the game. They also held the Vikings to a 63.2% completion rate on their passes.
Lions Team Defense
In their 26-23 win over the Texans, the Lions’ defense allowed just 56 rushing yards on 28 attempts, giving up only 2.0 yards per attempt on the ground. They also limited Houston to 192 passing yards and forced two interceptions. Detroit’s defense recorded four sacks and held the Texans to a 40% conversion rate on third down.
Detroit’s defense was also effective in the passing game, allowing the Texans to complete just 19 passes out of 33 attempts. The Lions also came away with a positive differential in both tackles for loss and quarterback hits.
Jaguars vs Lions Trends
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 2-8 overall in these games.
- In their last three home games, Detroit has averaged 27 points per game while allowing 22. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 1-9 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Lions have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.
Jaguars vs Lions Prediction
Our model has the Lions coming out on top by a score of 32-15 in their week 11 matchup against the Jaguars. Even though the Lions are 3-7 and the Jaguars are 1-9, this point spread is a bit surprising, as the Jaguars are 13-point favorites. However, with the Jaguars at 1-9 and on a nine-game losing streak, we are going with the Lions to cover as home favorites.
For this game, we are leaning towards taking the under, with our projections pointing to a combined score of 47 points, just hitting the over/under line of 47.5.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 12, 2024 Detroit Lions, Jacksonville Jaguars