The Miami Dolphins will face off against the Buffalo Bills at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. This matchup is being played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park.

The Dolphins and Bills will kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. Buffalo is the heavy favorite with a money line of -278 and a point spread of -6. Miami’s money line odds are +224, and the over/under line is set at 50 points. This week nine AFC East matchup is being televised on CBS.

• Date: Sunday, November 3rd
• Time: 1:00 ET
• Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park
• TV: CBS

Dolphins vs Bills

After snapping their three-game losing streak with a win over the Patriots in week 5, the Dolphins have now dropped two in a row, including a 28-27 loss to the Cardinals in week 8. Miami was a 4.5-point favorite at home but couldn’t secure the win, leaving them at 2-5 this season. They are currently 2nd in the AFC East and 10th in the conference standings.

Our projections give the Dolphins a 7.4% chance of making the playoffs and just a 0.4% chance of winning the division. They rank 25th in our NFL power rankings. Against the spread, Miami is 1-6, with an average scoring margin of -8.6 points per game.

Heading into week 9, the Bills have won three straight games, including a 31-10 road victory over the Seahawks in week 8. Buffalo was favored by 3 points and covered the spread with ease. The combined scoring in the game was 41 points, falling short of the 45-point line. In week 7, the Bills took care of the Titans 34-10, covering the 9.5-point spread, and in week 6, they narrowly defeated the Jets 23-20. Buffalo was a 1-point favorite in that game.

With a 6-2 record, the Bills sit atop the AFC East and have a 98.6% chance of winning the division. Our power rankings have them 3rd in the NFL, and they have a +10.5 scoring margin this season. Buffalo is 5-3 against the spread and has covered in three straight games. Their O/U record is 4-4, with their games averaging 47 points compared to a 45.4-point line.

Dolphins Injury Report

• Storm Duck – Ankle (Questionable)
• Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
• Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
• Patrick McMorris – Foot (Out)
• Cameron Goode – Undisclosed (Out)
• Kader Kohou – Neck (Questionable)
• Grant DuBose – Shoulder (Out)
• Julian Hill – Shoulder (Questionable)
• Tyler Huntley – Right Shoulder (Out)
• Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
• Blake Ferguson – Personal (Out)
• Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
• Jevon Holland – Knee (Questionable)
• Anthony Schwartz – Knee (Out)
• Jaelan Phillips – Knee (Out)
• Zach Sieler – Eye (Questionable)
• Isaiah Wynn – Undisclosed (Out)
• Bradley Chubb – Knee (Out)
• River Cracraft – Upper Body (Out)
• Braxton Berrios – Knee (Out)

Bills Injury Report

• Tylan Grable – Groin (Out)
• DeWayne Carter – Wrist (Out)
• Travis Clayton – Shoulder (Out)
• Shane Buechele – Neck (Out)
• Tommy Doyle – Undisclosed (Out)
• Terrel Bernard – Ankle/pectoral/personal (Questionable)
• Curtis Samuel – Pectoral (Questionable)
• Matt Milano – Bicep (Out)

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, the Dolphins rank 29th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 31st in the NFL in scoring, averaging 13.9 points per game, and are 21st in total yards, with 318 per game. Miami ranks 25th in passing yards (186.3 per game) on 32.1 attempts per game, which is 13th in the league. On the ground, they are 9th in both rushing attempts (30.4) and rushing yards (131.7 per game). The Dolphins are converting 38.5% of their third-down attempts, ranking 17th, and are 3rd in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 16th in red zone attempts.

In week 8, Miami scored 27 points in a loss to the Cardinals, with Tua Tagovailoa throwing for 234 yards and a touchdown on 28/38 passing. De’Von Achane led the team with 97 rushing yards on 10 carries, while Tyreek Hill had 6 catches for 72 yards. Miami converted 11 of 15 third-down attempts and scored on 3 of 4 red zone trips.

Bills Offense Breakdown

Josh Allen has been on a tear for the Bills, posting passer ratings of 102 in week 8, 116 in week 7, and 127 in week 6. Against the Seahawks in week 8, he threw for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 24 of 34 passes. Buffalo has had a different leading receiver in each of the last three games, with Khalil Shakir catching 9 passes for 107 yards in week 8. James Cook led the rushing attack with 111 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 carries.

Heading into week 9, the Bills rank 5th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28.8. They are 14th in passing yards per game with 214.2 and 12th in rushing, averaging 122.2 yards per game. Buffalo ranks 20th in 3rd-down conversions but has struggled in the red zone, sitting 28th in the league in conversion percentage.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 28-27 loss to the Cardinals, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 307 passing yards and 82 rushing yards. Arizona finished with 389 total yards, and Miami struggled to get off the field on third downs, allowing the Cardinals to convert 53.8% of their third down attempts. The Dolphins also gave up two passing touchdowns and failed to record a sack in the game.

Miami allowed Arizona to complete 72.2% of their passes and averaged 8.5 yards per attempt through the air. The Dolphins also lost the tackles for loss differential, finishing with -3 compared to the Cardinals.

Bills Team Defense

Buffalo’s defense was dominant in their 31-10 win over the Seahawks, holding them to just 32 rushing yards on 17 attempts. The Bills’ secondary didn’t allow a passing touchdown, giving up 201 yards through the air. They also defended well on third downs, allowing only a 14.3% conversion rate.

The Bills’ defense pressured the quarterback throughout the game, even though they only had one sack. They came up with one interception and limited Seattle to a 72.4% completion rate.

Dolphins vs Bills Trends

• Through their last five road contests, the Dolphins offense has averaged 10 points per game while allowing an average of 26. Miami posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 1-4 ATS.
• When looking at their past ten home matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
• Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Dolphins have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Bills have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 9-1.

Dolphins vs Bills Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Dolphins to cover as road underdogs in this week nine matchup between the Dolphins and Bills. Right now, the point spread lines have the Dolphins at +6, and we have the final score being 26-25 in favor of the Bills.

For the over/under, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 51 points and the O/U line sitting at just 50 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.