Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction 12/21/2024

The Pittsburgh Steelers will face off against the Baltimore Ravens at 4:30 ET on Saturday, December 21st. This matchup is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore.

The Ravens are favored by -6 as they host the Steelers at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore on Saturday, December 21st at 4:30 ET. Looking at the money line, the Ravens are -279, while the Steelers are +230. This week 16 AFC North matchup is being televised on FOX, with the over/under line set at 44.5 points.

  • Date: Saturday, December 21st
  • Time: 4:30 ET
  • Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
  • TV: FOX

Steelers vs Ravens

pittsburgh steelers nfl

At 10-4, the Steelers hold a 70.1% chance of winning the AFC North and have already secured a playoff spot. They rank 9th in our NFL power rankings and are 3-1 in division games and 7-2 in conference play. Pittsburgh is 5-1 at home and 5-3 on the road.

Against the spread, the Steelers are 10-4, with a +5.1 scoring margin. They are 5-3 as favorites and 5-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-7, with the under hitting in their last two games. Their matchups average 42.9 points per game, compared to an average line of 41.1.

Heading into week 16, the Ravens sit 4th in our NFL power rankings and have a 99.5% chance of making the playoffs. Baltimore is 9-5 this season, including a 5-4 record in conference games and a 2-2 record in the AFC North. They are 2nd in the division, with a 29.9% chance of winning it. Baltimore is 4-2 at home and 5-3 on the road.

Against the spread, the Ravens are 7-6-1, with a +6.1 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 11-3, with their games averaging 53.6 points. The average line in their games has been 47.9 points. In week 15, they beat the Giants 35-14, covering the 16.5-point spread. The combined 49 points went over the 43.5-point line.

Steelers Injury Report

  • Donte Jackson – Back (Questionable)
  • Cameron Johnston – Knee (Out)
  • James Daniels – Achilles (Out)
  • DeShon Elliott – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Nate Herbig – Shoulder (Out)
  • Larry Ogunjobi – Groin (Questionable)
  • T.J. Watt – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Justin Fields – Abdomen (Questionable)
  • George Pickens – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • C.J. Henderson – Neck (Out)
  • Calvin Anderson – Groin (Out)
  • Cole Holcomb – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Zyon Gilbert – Knee (Out)
  • DeMarvin Leal – Neck (Out)
  • David Perales – Knee (Out)
  • Troy Fautanu – Knee (Out)
  • Ryan Watts – Stinger (Out)
  • Roman Wilson – Hamstring (Out)
  • Logan Lee – Calf (Out)

Ravens Injury Report

  • Arthur Maulet – Calf/knee (Out)
  • Trayvon Mullen – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Deonte Harty – Knee (Out)
  • Diontae Johnson – Personal (Questionable)
  • Charlie Kolar – Arm (Out)
  • Christian Matthew – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Owen Wright – Foot (Out)
  • Malik Hamm – Knee (Out)
  • T.J. Tampa – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Adisa Isaac – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Sanoussi Kane – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Qadir Ismail – Undisclosed (Out)

Steelers Offense Breakdown

Russell Wilson’s passing numbers have declined over his last three games, dropping from 414 yards in week 13 to 158 yards in week 14, and 128 yards in week 15 against the Eagles. In his most recent outing, he completed 14 of 22 passes with one touchdown and no interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 94. Calvin Austin III led the team in receiving with 65 yards on 5 catches, while Najee Harris had just 14 rushing yards on 6 carries.

Heading into week 16, the Steelers rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 9th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24 points per game, and 17th in total yards with 325.6 per game. Pittsburgh leans heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards, while sitting 28th in passing attempts and 24th in passing yards.

Ravens Offense Breakdown

baltimore ravens

Heading into week 16, the Ravens sit 2nd in our offensive power rankings, scoring 29.9 points per game (3rd in the NFL) and leading the league with 424.1 passing yards per game. Despite ranking 26th in passing attempts, Baltimore is 3rd in passing yards, averaging 245.6 per game. They also rank 2nd in rushing yards, with 178.4 per game on 31.3 attempts, and are 2nd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, converting 48.7% of their attempts.

Lamar Jackson is coming off a 5-touchdown performance in week 15, going 21/25 for 290 yards and posting a passer rating of 154. Derrick Henry rushed for 67 yards on 14 carries, while Rashod Bateman led the receiving corps with 80 yards and 2 touchdowns on 3 receptions.

Steelers Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Steelers’ defense allowed the Eagles to convert on 58.8% of their third down attempts. The Steelers gave up 270 passing yards on 78.1% completions, and allowed 131 rushing yards on 42 attempts. Despite the 27-13 loss, they did manage to record three sacks and held the Eagles to 3.1 yards per attempt on the ground.

Pittsburgh’s defense gave up two passing touchdowns and struggled to slow down the Eagles’ passing game, as they averaged 8.4 yards per attempt. The Steelers also allowed 401 total yards in the game.

Ravens Team Defense

The Ravens’ defense was dominant in their 35-14 win over the Giants, holding New York to just 55 yards on 20 rushing attempts. They allowed only 181 passing yards and a completion percentage of 59.5%. Baltimore defended the pass well, giving up just 4.9 yards per attempt, and allowed only one passing touchdown.

Baltimore’s defense excelled on third downs, allowing the Giants to convert just 16.7% of their third down attempts. They also came away with three sacks, forced one interception, and limited the Giants to 236 total yards.

Steelers vs Ravens Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Pittsburgh has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 25 points per game.
  • Baltimore has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 18. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • As the betting underdog, the Steelers have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Pittsburgh posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.
  • Baltimore has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Steelers vs Ravens Prediction

Our pick against the spread is to take the Steelers to cover as road underdogs in this week 16 matchup vs. the Ravens. The point spread line has the Steelers at +6, and we have them winning by a score of 28-17.

For the over/under line, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 45 points and the line sitting at 44.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.