The Houston Texans will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs at 1:00 ET on Saturday, December 21st. This matchup is being played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

The Texans are favored on the road with a money line of -133 as they take on the Chiefs at 1:00 ET on Saturday, December 21st. The Chiefs are the underdog with a +111 money line. This week 16 AFC matchup is being televised on NBC, and the Texans are -2 point favorites. The over/under line is currently at 40 points.

• Date: Saturday, December 21st
• Time: 1:00 ET
• Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
• TV: NBC

Texans vs Chiefs

With a 9-5 record, the Texans currently sit atop the AFC South, and our projections give them a 100% chance of winning the division and making the playoffs. Houston ranks 11th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 16, and they’ve won two straight games, including a 20-12 victory over the Dolphins in week 15. They were 2.5-point favorites in that matchup and covered the spread, but the 32 combined points fell short of the 46.5-point O/U line.

Houston has a +2 scoring margin this season and is 6-7-1 against the spread. They are 4-6-1 ATS as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog. Their O/U record is 4-9-1, with the under hitting in two straight games.

The Chiefs bounced back from their week 11 loss to the Bills with three straight wins, including a 21-7 victory over the Browns in week 15. Kansas City was a 4-point favorite in that game, and they covered the spread with a 14-point win. The combined score of 28 points fell short of the 41-point line, marking the third straight game in which the under has hit in the Chiefs’ games.

At 13-1, the Chiefs sit atop the AFC standings and have a 100% chance of winning the AFC West. They rank 12th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 16. Kansas City has an average scoring margin of +5 points per game and is 5-8-1 against the spread this season.

Texans Injury Report

• Folorunso Fatukasi – Ankle (Questionable)
• Stefon Diggs – Knee (Out)
• Case Keenum – Foot (Out)
• Dalton Keene – Knee (Out)
• Azeez Al-Shaair – Suspension (Out)
• Ka’dar Hollman – Knee (Out)
• Brevin Jordan – Knee (Out)
• Cade Stover – Illness (Questionable)
• Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
• Juice Scruggs – Foot (Questionable)
• Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
• Jalen Pitre – Shoulder (Out)
• Teagan Quitoriano – Knee (Out)
• Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Questionable)
• LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)
• British Brooks – Knee (Out)

Chiefs Injury Report

• Jared Wiley – Knee (Out)
• McKade Mettauer – Knee (Out)
• Spencer Shrader – Right Hamstring (Out)
• Rashee Rice – Knee (Out)
• Skyy Moore – Core Muscle (Out)
• Jaylen Watson – Ankle (Out)
• Chamarri Conner – Concussion (Questionable)
• BJ Thompson – Chest (Out)
• Peyton Hendershot – Calf (Out)
• Jody Fortson – Knee (Out)
• Marquise Brown – Shoulder (Questionable)
• Patrick Mahomes – Ankle (Questionable)
• D.J. Humphries – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Mecole Hardman – Knee (Out)

Texans Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 16, the Texans sit 20th in our offensive power rankings. They are 11th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.4 points per game, and they rank 18th in total yards, with 324.2 per game. Houston has been strong in the first quarter, ranking 5th in the league in points scored. They are 19th in passing yards, with 212.8 per game, despite ranking 9th in pass attempts. On the ground, they are 16th in rushing yards per game and 15th in attempts. The Texans are 19th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 37.2%.

C.J. Stroud threw for 131 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 15, completing 18 of 26 passes without an interception. However, he was sacked 4 times. Joe Mixon led the team in receiving with 5 catches for 33 yards, while Dare Ogunbowale had a 35-yard run on his only carry. Houston scored all 20 of their points in the first 3 quarters against Miami, failing to score in the 4th quarter.

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 16, the Chiefs are 9th in our offensive power rankings and 10th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.5 points per game. They lead the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 50.8% success rate, and rank 4th in red zone attempts, although they are 22nd in red zone conversion percentage at 14.5%. Kansas City is 13th in passing yards per game (224.1) and 14th in total yards per game (336.3), with 36 passing attempts per game, ranking 5th in the NFL.

Patrick Mahomes has been dealing with an ankle injury but has avoided interceptions in his last three games. In week 15, he threw for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Browns. Before that, he had 210 yards in week 14 and 306 yards in week 13. Xavier Worthy led the team in receiving in week 15 with 6 catches for 46 yards.

Texans Team Defense

Despite allowing the Dolphins to complete 72.5% of their passes, the Texans’ defense came up with three interceptions in their 20-12 win over Miami. They held the Dolphins to just 172 passing yards and limited them to a 4.3 yards per attempt. Houston’s run defense was also strong, giving up only 52 yards on 19 attempts (2.7 yards per attempt).

Forcing Miami to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down, the Texans’ defense made it difficult for them to sustain drives. They also recorded three sacks in the game and allowed just one touchdown, despite the Dolphins holding the ball for 33:55.

Chiefs Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Chiefs’ defense was opportunistic, coming up with four interceptions in their 21-7 win over the Browns. Despite giving up 139 rushing yards on just 21 attempts, the Chiefs held Cleveland to 127 yards passing. They also didn’t allow a passing touchdown and limited the Browns to a 58.8% completion percentage. On 3rd downs, the Browns were only able to convert 33.3% of their chances.

Kansas City’s defense put a lot of pressure on the quarterback, finishing with five sacks. Their performance against the pass was impressive, as they held Cleveland to just 3.7 yards per attempt. However, the Chiefs did struggle to stop the run, giving up 6.6 yards per attempt on the ground.

Texans vs Chiefs Trends

• Houston has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 26 points per game while allowing 19. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-1-1.
• Although Kansas City has a straight up record of 4-1 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 25 points per game in these games.
• The last ten games that Kansas City was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 8-2 straight up.
• Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Texans have an overall record of 4-1 while going 2-2-1 against the spread.

Texans vs Chiefs Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread in this Texans vs. Chiefs matchup is to take the Texans to cover as road favorites. The point spread lines have the Texans at -2, and we actually have them winning by a score of 27-20.

For this week 16 matchup, we also like the over as a good bet. The line is currently sitting at 40 points, and our projections have these teams combining for 47 points, making the over a strong play.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.