Minnesota Vikings vs Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Vikings vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction 11/10/2024

The Minnesota Vikings will face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th. This matchup is being played at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville.

The Vikings are favored on the road in their week 10 non-conference matchup against the Jaguars. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, will be televised on FOX. Minnesota’s point spread is -4, with their money line at -198. The Jaguars’ money line odds are +165, and the over/under line is set at 47.5 points.

  • Date: Sunday, November 10th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville
  • TV: FOX

Vikings vs Jaguars

minnesota vikings nfl

Heading into week 10, the Vikings are 6-2, putting them 2nd in the NFC North. Our projections give them an 81.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 12.7% chance of winning the division. Minnesota ranks 8th in our NFL power rankings and has a +7.4 scoring margin this season. Against the spread, they are 6-2, including a 3-0 record as underdogs.

After back-to-back losses, the Vikings bounced back in week 9 with a 21-13 win over the Colts. They were 5.5-point favorites and covered the spread, improving their record to 6-2. The O/U line was 47 points, and the teams combined for 34. Minnesota’s O/U record is 3-5 this season, with their games averaging 44.9 points.

Jacksonville heads into week 10 with a 2-7 record, putting them 4th in the AFC South. After a week 7 win over the Patriots, the Jaguars have now lost two straight, including a 28-23 road loss to the Eagles in week 9. Despite the loss, Jacksonville covered the spread as 7.5-point underdogs. They are 5-4 ATS this season, including a 4-1 record as underdogs.

Our power rankings have the Jaguars 26th, and they have a 3.3% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 6-3, with the over hitting in five straight games. Their matchups have averaged 49.7 points per game, compared to an average line of 45.4.

Vikings Injury Report

  • Blake Cashman – Toe (Questionable)
  • Jordan Kunaszyk – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Christian Darrisaw – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Muse – Hand (Out)
  • Akayleb Evans – Hip (Questionable)
  • Mekhi Blackmon – Knee (Out)
  • Jeremy Flax – Undisclosed (Out)
  • J.J. McCarthy – Knee (Out)
  • Will Reichard – Thigh (Questionable)
  • NaJee Thompson – Knee (Out)
  • Taki Taimani – Ankle (Out)
  • Gabriel Murphy – Undisclosed (Out)

Jaguars Injury Report

  • Christian Kirk – Collarbone (Out)
  • Ezra Cleveland – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Andrew Wingard – Knee (Questionable)
  • Devin Duvernay – Hamstring (Out)
  • Gabe Davis – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • De’Shaan Dixon – Knee (Out)
  • Maason Smith – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Keilan Robinson – Toe (Questionable)
  • Patrick Murtagh – Ankle (Out)
  • Cooper Hodges – Leg (Out)
  • David White Jr. – Knee (Out)

Vikings Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, the Vikings are 13th in our offensive power rankings and are averaging 26.1 points per game, which ranks 8th in the NFL. They are also 9th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 40.9% success rate. Minnesota has been strong in the 1st quarter, leading the league with an average of 9.0 points.

Sam Darnold threw for 290 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 9, completing 28 of 34 passes, but also had 2 interceptions. Justin Jefferson had 7 catches for 137 yards, and Aaron Jones rushed for 64 yards on 21 carries.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

jacksonville jaguars

Heading into week 10, the Jaguars’ offense ranks 19th in our power rankings, averaging 21.7 points per game, which places them 17th in the NFL. They are also 17th in passing yards per game, with 207.2, and 21st in total yards, averaging 320.7 per game. Jacksonville has struggled on third down, converting just 31.6% of their attempts, ranking 27th in the league.

Trevor Lawrence had a rough outing in week 9, posting a passer rating of 40 after throwing for 169 yards and 2 interceptions. Before that, he had thrown for 308 yards in week 8 and 193 yards in week 7. Evan Engram led the team in receiving in week 9, with 5 catches for 45 yards, while Travis Etienne Jr. had 24 rushing yards on 3 carries.

Vikings Team Defense

The Vikings’ defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as the Colts managed just 159 yards passing and 68 yards rushing on 19 attempts. Minnesota’s defense also limited the Colts to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. The Vikings’ defense didn’t allow a touchdown in the 21-13 win, and they came away with one interception and three sacks.

Overall, the Vikings’ defense allowed just 227 total yards in the game. They also held the Colts to a 59.3% completion percentage and gave up only four tackles for loss in the game.

Jaguars Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Jaguars’ defense gave up 237 rushing yards on 46 attempts to the Eagles. Despite allowing 237 yards on the ground, the Jaguars’ defense did manage to sack the quarterback three times. The Eagles finished with 447 total yards in their 28-23 win over Jacksonville.

In the passing game, the Jaguars allowed just 18 completions for 210 yards, but two of those completions went for touchdowns. Opposing quarterbacks completed 75% of their passes against Jacksonville, and the Eagles converted on 52.9% of their third down attempts.

Vikings vs Jaguars Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 2-2-1 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last three home games, Jacksonville has averaged 19 points per game while allowing 29. The team’s record in this stretch was 0-3 while going 2-1.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Jacksonville has an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 0-5 straight up.
  • Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.

Vikings vs Jaguars Prediction

With the line sitting at 47.5 points, we have a slight lean towards the under, projecting a combined score of 46 points for this week 10 matchup between the Jaguars and Vikings.

As for the point spread, our pick is to take the Vikings to cover as 4-point road favorites. We have them winning by a score of 27-19, making them a good bet to cover the spread in this one.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.