The Washington Commanders will face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 8:00 ET on Sunday, January 12th. This matchup is being played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay.

The Buccaneers are favored on the money line at -182 as they face off against the Commanders at 8:00 ET on Sunday, January 12th. The over/under line is at 50.5 points, and the Commanders are +3 point underdogs on the road. This NFC matchup is being televised on NBC.

• Date: Sunday, January 12th
• Time: 8:00 ET
• Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay
• TV: NBC

Commanders vs Buccaneers

Washington ended the regular season with a 12-5 record, putting them 6th in the NFC and 2nd in the NFC East. Before their week 1 loss to the Buccaneers, they had won five straight, including a 23-19 victory over the Cowboys in week 18. The Commanders were 7-point favorites in that game but couldn’t cover the spread. They did, however, cover in their week 17 win over the Falcons, beating Atlanta 30-24.

Heading into the playoffs, Washington ranks 11th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +5.5 points per game and are 10-6-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 11-6, with their games averaging 51.5 points compared to a line of 45.9.

The Buccaneers snapped a two-game losing streak with a 37-20 win over the Commanders in week 1, finishing the regular season at 10-7. This record was enough to secure the NFC South title, and they currently rank 3rd in the conference. Tampa Bay entered the season 7th in our power rankings.

Heading into the playoffs, the Bucs have an average scoring margin of +6.9 points per game and are 10-7 against the spread. Their O/U record is 12-5, with the over hitting in four straight games.

Commanders Injury Report

• Colson Yankoff – Hamstring (Out)
• Norell Pollard – Undisclosed (Out)
• Kazmeir Allen – Ankle (Out)
• Tyler Owens – Ankle (Out)
• Jordan Magee – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Quan Martin – Illness (Questionable)
• Tyler Biadasz – Ankle (Questionable)
• K.J. Osborn – Illness (Questionable)
• Austin Seibert – Hip (Out)
• Cornelius Lucas – Groin (Questionable)
• Marshon Lattimore – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Noah Brown – Kidney (Out)

Buccaneers Injury Report

• Daniel Grzesiak – Undisclosed (Out)
• SirVocea Dennis – Shoulder (Out)
• Markees Watts – Quad (Out)
• Silas Dzansi – Knee (Out)
• Christian Izien – Pectoral (Out)
• Cade Otton – Knee (Questionable)
• Eric Banks – Undisclosed (Out)
• Bryce Hall – Ankle (Out)
• Chris Godwin – Ankle (Out)
• Chase Edmonds – Knee (Out)
• Troy Hill – Foot/knee (Out)
• Cody Thompson – Shoulder (Out)
• Sua Opeta – Knee (Out)
• Jamel Dean – Knee (Questionable)
• Jordan Whitehead – Personal (Out)
• Antoine Winfield Jr. – Knee (Questionable)

Commanders Offense Breakdown

Jayden Daniels has been efficient under center for the Commanders, posting a passer rating of 141 in week 3, going 21 of 23 for 254 yards and 2 touchdowns. He bounced back from a 5-sack game in week 2, where he threw for 226 yards, and in week 1, he had 184 yards without an interception. Terry McLaurin led the team in week 3 with 4 catches for 100 yards, while Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 133 yards in week 2.

Washington ranks 5th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28.5, and they are 7th in total yards with 369.6 per game. They rely on the run game, ranking 5th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game, with 154.1. On 3rd down, they convert 45.6% of the time, which is 6th in the league.

Buccaneers Offense Breakdown

After an impressive 4-touchdown performance in week 1, Baker Mayfield has seen his passer rating drop in each of the last two games, finishing with a rating of 83 in week 3. He threw for 163 yards (25/33) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception against the Broncos, while also being sacked 7 times. Chris Godwin led the team with 53 receiving yards on 6 catches in week 3, after his 117-yard game in week 2. Bucky Irving had 70 rushing yards on 9 carries in week 3.

Heading into the Wild Card round, the Buccaneers rank 7th in our offensive power rankings. They are 3rd in the NFL in passing yards per game (250.4) and 4th in rushing (149.2). Tampa Bay leads the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 50.9% success rate, and they average 6.9 points in the 1st quarter, which is also the best in the NFL.

Commanders Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Commanders’ defense gave up 228 passing yards on 20 completions to the Cowboys. Despite this, they still came out on top, winning 23-19. Dallas had 378 total yards and 150 rushing yards on 39 attempts.

Washington’s defense held Dallas without a touchdown through the air and limited them to a 41.2% conversion rate on third down. The Commanders also managed two sacks, although they lost the quarterback hit differential by -6.

Buccaneers Team Defense

Tampa Bay’s defense was tough on third downs in their 27-19 win over the Saints, allowing just a 23.1% conversion rate. They also limited the Saints to 64 rushing yards on 19 attempts. The Buccaneers gave up 228 passing yards and allowed one passing touchdown, while holding the Saints to a 61.9% completion percentage.

Their defense also came up with two sacks and held the Saints to 19 points. Offensively, the Buccaneers allowed just 292 total yards in the game.

Commanders vs Buccaneers Trends

• Through their last ten road games, Washington has an ATS record of just 4-5-1. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 25 points per game.
• Through their last three home games, Tampa Bay has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 30 points per game.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Commanders have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-5-1.
• Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Buccaneers struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.

Commanders vs Buccaneers Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Commanders to cover as road underdogs in their matchup against the Buccaneers. Even though the Buccaneers are the home team and are currently sitting at -3, we have Washington pulling off the upset by a score of 28-21.

For an over/under pick, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 49 points and the line sitting at 50.5 points.

---

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

---

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.