Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 3/11/2025

The Vegas Golden Knights (38-19-6) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Penguins (25-31-10) on Tuesday, March 11th. This game will be played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Golden Knights vs Penguins

vegas golden knights nhl

The Vegas Golden Knights Are Coming Off A Win

Vegas improved to 38-19-6 with a 4-3 overtime win against Utah. The Golden Knights trailed 2-0 before rallying with four different players scoring. As -1.5 goal favorites, Vegas didn’t cover the puck line, and the total of 7 goals went over the 6.5 line.

Utah scored the first two goals, but Pavel Dorofeyev got Vegas on the board at 15:06 in the second period. Noah Hanifin tied it up with just one second left in the second period. William Karlsson gave the Golden Knights a 3-2 lead in the third, but Utah tied it again before Brett Howden scored the game-winner 2:15 into overtime.

The Pittsburgh Penguins Are Coming Off A Win

Pittsburgh improved to 25-31-10 with a 3-1 win over the Canadiens. The Penguins covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 4 goals fell short of the 6.5 goal line.

Sidney Crosby led the way with two goals, including one in the first period. The Canadiens scored in the third period to make it 2-1 before Blake Lizotte sealed the win with an empty-net goal.

Vegas Offense Breakdown

In their 4-3 overtime win, the Golden Knights fired 35 shots on goal and scored four times, with Brett Howden netting his 6th goal of the season in OT. William Karlsson added his 2nd goal of the year, while Noah Hanifin, who scored his 2nd goal, also picked up two assists, bringing his season total to five.

After a scoreless first period, Pavel Dorofeyev opened the scoring for Vegas, marking his 7th goal of the season. The Golden Knights had 13 giveaways and finished with 7 assists in the game.

Penguins Offense Breakdown

pittsburgh penguins

Sidney Crosby led the way for the Penguins, scoring twice, including his 5th goal of the season on a power play. He found the net for the 4th time this season at the 4:03 mark in the 1st period. Blake Lizotte added his 2nd goal of the year with an empty-netter at 19:15 in the 3rd period.

The Penguins took 24 shots on goal and recorded 14 giveaways. They scored their 2nd goal at 1:20 in the 2nd period, with Crosby converting on a power play.

Vegas Team Defense

Defensively, the Golden Knights will look to improve after allowing the first three goals in their previous game. The first came at 8:08 in the first period, followed by another at 12:00 in the second and a third at 13:10 in the third. Adin Hill made 16 saves with a save percentage of 84.2%. The defense also recorded 10 takeaways and 22 hits.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

Defensively, the Penguins will look to build on their previous performance, where they allowed just one goal to the Canadiens. Alex Nedeljkovic made 25 saves and posted a 96.2% save percentage. The defense also contributed 5 takeaways and 19 hits.

Golden Knights vs Penguins Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Golden Knights offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 3. Vegas posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • In their last five games at home, the Penguins have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 3 goals per game in these contests.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Penguins have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Golden Knights have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their puck line record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Golden Knights vs Penguins Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Penguins to take down the Golden Knights at home. With the moneyline currently at +174, I’m placing my bet on the Penguins straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Penguins winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Penguins straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.