Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Prediction 5/11/2025

The Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4) travel to face off against the Dallas Stars (50-26-6) on Sunday, May 11th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on TBS. The Jets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Stars are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Panthers. Puck drop is set for 4:30 ET.

Jets vs Stars

winnipeg jets nhl

The Winnipeg Jets Are Coming Off A Win

The Jets improved to 56-22-4 with a 7-4 victory over the Lightning. Winnipeg covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5 goals.

Winnipeg trailed 2-0 early, but seven different players scored to help them come back. The Jets took the lead for good with Dylan Samberg’s goal in the third period, and they added two empty-netters to seal the win.

The Dallas Stars Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Dallas fell to 50-26-6 after a 4-2 loss to the Panthers. The Stars, as underdogs on the puck line, failed to cover. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 6 fell just short.

After trailing 2-0, Dallas tied it up with two goals in the second period. However, the Panthers pulled ahead with a goal early in the third and sealed the win with an empty-netter.

Winnipeg Offense Breakdown

The Jets’ offense fired 34 shots on goal in their 7-4 win over Tampa Bay, with seven different players finding the net. Vladislav Namestnikov got things started with his third goal of the season, while Logan Stanley added his first. Mark Scheifele netted his eighth goal, and Dylan Samberg followed with his third.

Alex Iafallo scored his first goal of the season on a power play, and Nikolaj Ehlers picked up his ninth with an empty-netter. Cole Perfetti closed out the scoring with his fourth goal, also on an empty net. The Jets recorded 10 assists in the game, with Josh Morrissey now up to 13 assists this season.

Stars Offense Breakdown

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Dallas took 25 shots on goal but only found the net twice in their 4-2 loss to the Panthers. Evgenii Dadonov scored his second goal of the season on a power play, while Matt Duchene added his seventh goal. Duchene also picked up his eighth assist on Dadonov’s goal.

The Stars were held scoreless in the first period before netting both of their goals in the second. Wyatt Johnston recorded his fifth assist of the season, while Miro Heiskanen added his fourth assist. Thomas Harley contributed with his fifth assist on Duchene’s goal.

Winnipeg Team Defense

Winnipeg’s defense allowed the first two goals of the game and another at the 6:51 mark in the 3rd, tying the score at 4-4. Connor Hellebuyck made 26 saves with a save percentage of 86.7%. The Jets’ defense also recorded 5 takeaways and 31 hits.

Dallas Team Defense

Dallas allowed the first goal just 5:15 into the first period and another at the 8:47 mark of the second, but they managed to tie the game at 2-2. However, the defense gave up the go-ahead goal just 2:32 into the third, and an empty-netter sealed the 4-2 loss. Casey DeSmith made 21 saves with an 87.5% save percentage.

Jets vs Stars Trends

  • Across the Jets last five road games, the team averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 4. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 1-4, while going 2-3 straight-up.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Stars offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 3. Dallas posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • As the betting underdog, the Stars have an puck line mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Jets have an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 against the spread.

Jets vs Stars Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Stars to pick up on a win over the Jets at home. With the moneyline sitting at -145, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Stars straight-up.

If you’re looking for my recommendation on the puck line, I suggest taking the Jets to cover. Even if the Stars manage to win outright, this game is expected to remain competitive, and the Jets should cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.