The North Carolina Tar Heels (22-14) travel to face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (22-11) on Friday, March 21st. This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and televised on TNT. Both North Carolina and Ole Miss will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:05 ET.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs Ole Miss Rebels
The Tar Heels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
North Carolina’s season record now stands at 22-14 after a 74-71 loss to Duke on Friday. The Tar Heels were +7 point underdogs going into the game, but they managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 145, which was under the O/U line of 153.5.
North Carolina found themselves in a deep hole after the first half, trailing 45-24. However, they mounted a strong comeback in the second half, outscoring Duke 47-29, but ultimately fell just short of completing the comeback.
The Rebels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Ole Miss Rebels Recent Game/Games
In their latest outing, Ole Miss fell to 22-11 on the season after a 62-57 road loss to Auburn on Friday, March 14th. Despite being +13 point underdogs, the Rebels kept it closer than expected.
Ole Miss trailed 29-22 at halftime but outscored Auburn 35-33 in the second half. The game’s total points of 119 fell well short of the 158-point O/U line.
Tar Heels Offense Breakdown
In their last game, North Carolina put up 71 points, shooting 47.3% from the field. They struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 3 of 17 attempts for 17.6%, but excelled inside, connecting on 60.5% of their two-point shots.
Ven-Allen Lubin led the way with 20 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 8 of 11 from the field. Kon Knueppel added 17 points, hitting 3 of 5 from deep, while Elliot Cadeau was perfect from three, making all 3 of his attempts.
Rebels Offense Breakdown
In their last game, Ole Miss struggled offensively, scoring just 57 points with a 37.7% field goal percentage. Their effective field goal percentage was 41.5%, and they hit only 4 of 23 three-point attempts, shooting 17.4% from beyond the arc.
Johni Broome led the Rebels with 23 points and 15 rebounds, shooting 57.1% from the field. Denver Jones and Dre Davis both shot 62.5%, with Jones hitting 2 of 5 threes and Davis adding 6 rebounds.
Tar Heels Team Defense
North Carolina’s defense struggled inside, allowing 74 points on 49% shooting from the field. The Tar Heels gave up 66% shooting on two-point attempts, with their opponents hitting 22 of 33 shots.
From beyond the arc, North Carolina held their opponents to 22% shooting, as they made just 5 of 22 three-point attempts. The Tar Heels also sent their opponents to the line 22 times, where they converted 15 free throws for a 68% rate.
Rebels Team Defense
North Carolina’s defense struggled inside, allowing 74 points on 49% shooting from the field. The Tar Heels gave up 22 two-point baskets on 33 attempts, a 66% conversion rate for their opponent.
From beyond the arc, North Carolina held their opponent to 5 made threes on 22 attempts, a 22% shooting performance. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 22 times, where they made 15, shooting 68%.
Tar Heels vs Rebels Trends
- In their last three road games, North Carolina has averaged 76 points per game while allowing 64. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
- In their last five games at home, the Rebels have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-3-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 69 points per game in this stretch.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Rebels have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Tar Heels have gone 8-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 10-0.
Tar Heels vs Rebels Prediction
Coming in as the underdogs at +1.5, we have the Rebels as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 156, and our model projects the Tar Heels and Rebels to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 20, 2025 North Carolina Tar Heels, Ole Miss Rebels